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2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

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2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

UConn 72%

UCLA 13%

Texas 9.3%

Carolina do Sul 9.3%

Polymarket

$127,691 Vol.

UConn 72%

UCLA 13%

Texas 9.3%

Carolina do Sul 9.3%

Polymarket

$127,691 Vol.

UConn

$12,630 Vol.

72%

UCLA

$5,417 Vol.

13%

Texas

$19,288 Vol.

9%

Carolina do Sul

$23,193 Vol.

9%

LSU

$5,332 Vol.

2%

Notre Dame

$2,913 Vol.

2%

Michigan

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

TCU

$4,288 Vol.

<1%

Duke

$4,433 Vol.

<1%

Virgínia

$2,483 Vol.

<1%

Louisville

$3,137 Vol.

<1%

Kentucky

$2,771 Vol.

<1%

Oklahoma

$4,309 Vol.

<1%

Minnesota

$8,239 Vol.

<1%

Carolina do Norte

$2,216 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus heavily favors UConn at 69% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament, driven by Paige Bueckers' return for her senior season alongside Azzi Fudd's recovery and the program's No. 1-ranked 2025 recruiting class featuring five-star Sarah Strong, the top overall prospect who committed in November. UCLA sits at 13% with strong Big Ten positioning, elite Pacific recruiting under Cori Close, and rising stars like Kiki Rice building momentum from recent Final Four runs. Texas (9.3%) and South Carolina (8.8%) round out leaders; Texas bolsters its SEC powerhouse under Vic Schaefer via transfer portal additions like Aaliyah Moore, while the Gamecocks reload post-undefeated title with MiLaysia Fulwiley and top-5 signees despite graduating stars like Kamilla Cardoso to the WNBA. Recent early signing period commitments and NIL-fueled roster stability underscore UConn's edge in the transfer portal era.

Trader consensus heavily favors UConn at 69% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament, driven by Paige Bueckers' return for her senior season alongside Azzi Fudd's recovery and the program's No. 1-ranked 2025 recruiting class featuring five-star Sarah Strong, the top overall prospect who committed in November. UCLA sits at 13% with strong Big Ten positioning, elite Pacific recruiting under Cori Close, and rising stars like Kiki Rice building momentum from recent Final Four runs. Texas (9.3%) and South Carolina (8.8%) round out leaders; Texas bolsters its SEC powerhouse under Vic Schaefer via transfer portal additions like Aaliyah Moore, while the Gamecocks reload post-undefeated title with MiLaysia Fulwiley and top-5 signees despite graduating stars like Kamilla Cardoso to the WNBA. Recent early signing period commitments and NIL-fueled roster stability underscore UConn's edge in the transfer portal era.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus heavily favors UConn at 69% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament, driven by Paige Bueckers' return for her senior season alongside Azzi Fudd's recovery and the program's No. 1-ranked 2025 recruiting class featuring five-star Sarah Strong, the top overall prospect who committed in November. UCLA sits at 13% with strong Big Ten positioning, elite Pacific recruiting under Cori Close, and rising stars like Kiki Rice building momentum from recent Final Four runs. Texas (9.3%) and South Carolina (8.8%) round out leaders; Texas bolsters its SEC powerhouse under Vic Schaefer via transfer portal additions like Aaliyah Moore, while the Gamecocks reload post-undefeated title with MiLaysia Fulwiley and top-5 signees despite graduating stars like Kamilla Cardoso to the WNBA. Recent early signing period commitments and NIL-fueled roster stability underscore UConn's edge in the transfer portal era.

Trader consensus heavily favors UConn at 69% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament, driven by Paige Bueckers' return for her senior season alongside Azzi Fudd's recovery and the program's No. 1-ranked 2025 recruiting class featuring five-star Sarah Strong, the top overall prospect who committed in November. UCLA sits at 13% with strong Big Ten positioning, elite Pacific recruiting under Cori Close, and rising stars like Kiki Rice building momentum from recent Final Four runs. Texas (9.3%) and South Carolina (8.8%) round out leaders; Texas bolsters its SEC powerhouse under Vic Schaefer via transfer portal additions like Aaliyah Moore, while the Gamecocks reload post-undefeated title with MiLaysia Fulwiley and top-5 signees despite graduating stars like Kamilla Cardoso to the WNBA. Recent early signing period commitments and NIL-fueled roster stability underscore UConn's edge in the transfer portal era.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 74+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "UConn" at 72%, followed by "UCLA" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $127.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 74+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is "UConn" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "UCLA" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.