Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral

Name: Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral
Start: 2025-08-25T21:10:24.869Z
End: 2026-04-25T00:00:00.000Z

Desporto·NCAA Football

Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral

Fernando Mendoza 95.5%

Spencer Fano <1%

Dante Moore <1%

Arvell Reese <1%

$533,723 Vol.

Apr 25, 2026

Fernando Mendoza

$31,238 Vol.

96%

Spencer Fano

$20,283 Vol.

Dante Moore

$23,643 Vol.

<1%

Arvell Reese

$239,158 Vol.

<1%

LaNorris Sellers

$46,341 Vol.

<1%

Carson Beck

$32,518 Vol.

<1%

Taylen Green

$23,678 Vol.

<1%

Cade Klubnik

$34,617 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Lomu

$16,517 Vol.

<1%

Ty Simpson

$12,932 Vol.

<1%

Arch Manning

$25,303 Vol.

<1%

David Bailey

$12,485 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Nussmeier

$15,010 Vol.

<1%

Jayden Maiava

$0 Vol.

<1%

Matayo Uiagalelei

$0 Vol.

<1%

Francis Mauigoa

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kyron Drones

$0 Vol.

<1%

Aidan Chiles

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jalon Daniels

$0 Vol.

<1%

Rueben Bain Jr

$0 Vol.

<1%

Miller Moss

$0 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Downs

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jordyn Tyson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$0 Vol.

<1%

Sam Leavitt

$0 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$0 Vol.

<1%

T.J. Parker

$0 Vol.

<1%

Sawyer Robertson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Raylen Wilson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Conner Weigman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cashius Howell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Drew Allar

$0 Vol.

<1%

Keldric Faulk

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$0 Vol.

<1%

John Mateer

$0 Vol.

<1%

LT Overton

$0 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Mendoza 95.5%

Spencer Fano <1%

Dante Moore <1%

Arvell Reese <1%

$533,723 Vol.

Apr 25, 2026

Fernando Mendoza

$31,238 Vol.

96%

Spencer Fano

$20,283 Vol.

Dante Moore

$23,643 Vol.

<1%

Arvell Reese

$239,158 Vol.

<1%

LaNorris Sellers

$46,341 Vol.

<1%

Carson Beck

$32,518 Vol.

<1%

Taylen Green

$23,678 Vol.

<1%

Cade Klubnik

$34,617 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Lomu

$16,517 Vol.

<1%

Ty Simpson

$12,932 Vol.

<1%

Arch Manning

$25,303 Vol.

<1%

David Bailey

$12,485 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Nussmeier

$15,010 Vol.

<1%

Jayden Maiava

$0 Vol.

<1%

Matayo Uiagalelei

$0 Vol.

<1%

Francis Mauigoa

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kyron Drones

$0 Vol.

<1%

Aidan Chiles

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jalon Daniels

$0 Vol.

<1%

Rueben Bain Jr

$0 Vol.

<1%

Miller Moss

$0 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Downs

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jordyn Tyson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$0 Vol.

<1%

Sam Leavitt

$0 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$0 Vol.

<1%

T.J. Parker

$0 Vol.

<1%

Sawyer Robertson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Raylen Wilson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Conner Weigman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cashius Howell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Drew Allar

$0 Vol.

<1%

Keldric Faulk

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$0 Vol.

<1%

John Mateer

$0 Vol.

<1%

LT Overton

$0 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fernando Mendoza's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability as the 2026 NFL Draft's top pick reflects traders' consensus on his status as the premier quarterback prospect, fueled by his explosive start to the 2024 college season at Cal—boasting elite arm talent, mobility, and poise amid a thin QB class. Recent mock drafts from outlets like ESPN and The Athletic peg him as the consensus No. 1, with 4,000+ passing yards and 40 TDs projected if he sustains form. Challengers like Spencer Fano or Dante Moore trail due to inconsistent production and tougher schedules; realistic threats include Mendoza's injury risk, a midseason slump, or breakouts from Arch Manning or Carson Beck amid shifting Big Ten/Big 12 dynamics.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 22, 2026, 4:46 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fernando Mendoza" at 96%, followed by "Spencer Fano" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" has generated $533.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" is "Fernando Mendoza" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Spencer Fano" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $533.7K traded on “Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 96¢ for "Fernando Mendoza" in the "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 96% chance that "Fernando Mendoza" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 96¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 4¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 25, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral

Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (2)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral"?

What are the current odds for "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral"?

How will "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" be resolved?

Can I follow "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" without placing a trade?

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How do I start trading on "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral"?

What does a price of 96¢ for "Fernando Mendoza" mean?

When does the "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral" market close?

What are traders saying about "Draft de futebol profissional de 2026: primeira escolha geral"?

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