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Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Market icon
Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Arizona 27.1%

Michigan 21%

Duke 17%

Illinois 13.5%

Polymarket

$20,991,990 Vol.

Arizona 27.1%

Michigan 21%

Duke 17%

Illinois 13.5%

Polymarket

$20,991,990 Vol.

Arizona

$1,014,572 Vol.

27%

Michigan

$872,592 Vol.

21%

Duke

$796,736 Vol.

17%

Illinois

$1,242,809 Vol.

13%

Purdue

$3,231,980 Vol.

7%

Iowa State

$2,511,031 Vol.

4%

Connecticut

$2,206,030 Vol.

3%

Michigan State

$841,814 Vol.

3%

St. John's

$787,243 Vol.

2%

Iowa

$931,372 Vol.

2%

Tennessee

$954,244 Vol.

1%

Alabama

$838,225 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus favors Arizona at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, buoyed by their top-five recruiting class featuring five-star Koa Peat and transfer portal additions enhancing depth around returning talent. Michigan trails closely at 20.5% after coach Dusty May's aggressive offseason rebuild, landing high-impact transfers like Nolan Essengue and a top-10 freshman haul amid Big Ten parity. Duke's 16.5% reflects elite recruiting continuity under Jon Scheyer, while Illinois (13.5%) and Purdue (6.8%) benefit from strong returning cores and conference strength. Recent spring portal moves and summer commitments highlight roster fluidity, keeping the race competitive with no dominant favorite in this early futures market.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$20,991,990
Data de Término
Apr 4, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus favors Arizona at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, buoyed by their top-five recruiting class featuring five-star Koa Peat and transfer portal additions enhancing depth around returning talent. Michigan trails closely at 20.5% after coach Dusty May's aggressive offseason rebuild, landing high-impact transfers like Nolan Essengue and a top-10 freshman haul amid Big Ten parity. Duke's 16.5% reflects elite recruiting continuity under Jon Scheyer, while Illinois (13.5%) and Purdue (6.8%) benefit from strong returning cores and conference strength. Recent spring portal moves and summer commitments highlight roster fluidity, keeping the race competitive with no dominant favorite in this early futures market.

Trader consensus favors Arizona at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, buoyed by their top-five recruiting class featuring five-star Koa Peat and transfer portal additions enhancing depth around returning talent. Michigan trails closely at 20.5% after coach Dusty May's aggressive offseason rebuild, landing high-impact transfers like Nolan Essengue and a top-10 freshman haul amid Big Ten parity. Duke's 16.5% reflects elite recruiting continuity under Jon Scheyer, while Illinois (13.5%) and Purdue (6.8%) benefit from strong returning cores and conference strength. Recent spring portal moves and summer commitments highlight roster fluidity, keeping the race competitive with no dominant favorite in this early futures market.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arizona" at 27%, followed by "Michigan" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" has generated $21 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is "Arizona" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michigan" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.