Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Name: Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026
Start: 2025-10-31T23:55:20.806Z
End: 2026-04-04T00:00:00.000Z

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026 — Discussão

nikolal · 2025-10-31T23:55:20.806Z

Discussão sobre Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026. Os traders compartilham insights e previsões no Polymarket.

Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Duke 20%

Michigan 19%

Arizona 17.3%

Flórida 9.8%

$12,218,307 Vol.

Apr 4, 2026

Duke

$313,687 Vol.

20%

Michigan

$294,161 Vol.

19%

Arizona

$310,898 Vol.

17%

Flórida

$348,581 Vol.

10%

Houston

$213,620 Vol.

Iowa State

$398,178 Vol.

Purdue

$373,911 Vol.

Illinois

$570,242 Vol.

Connecticut

$472,837 Vol.

Arkansas

$243,315 Vol.

Michigan State

$309,219 Vol.

Gonzaga

$426,607 Vol.

St. John's

$230,648 Vol.

Vanderbilt

$243,703 Vol.

Virgínia

$224,820 Vol.

Kansas

$277,727 Vol.

Wisconsin

$195,427 Vol.

UCLA

$278,473 Vol.

Louisville

$231,560 Vol.

Tennessee

$328,171 Vol.

Alabama

$216,124 Vol.

Nebraska

$250,237 Vol.

Kentucky

$197,323 Vol.

<1%

BYU

$232,448 Vol.

<1%

Texas Tech

$236,394 Vol.

<1%

Carolina do Norte

$368,902 Vol.

<1%

St. Mary's

$175,565 Vol.

<1%

Miami (FL)

$187,619 Vol.

<1%

Ohio State

$155,940 Vol.

<1%

Villanova

$195,398 Vol.

<1%

Missouri

$260,533 Vol.

<1%

VCU

$100,213 Vol.

<1%

Iowa

$165,946 Vol.

<1%

Texas A&M

$155,754 Vol.

<1%

Geórgia

$119,887 Vol.

<1%

Saint Louis

$246,209 Vol.

<1%

Clemson

$153,290 Vol.

<1%

TCU

$162,104 Vol.

<1%

Santa Clara

$135,572 Vol.

<1%

UCF

$95,563 Vol.

<1%

Sul da Flórida

$132,128 Vol.

<1%

Miami (OH)

$118,046 Vol.

<1%

SMU

$0 Vol.

<1%

Northern Iowa

$39,464 Vol.

<1%

Dakota do Norte State

$21,423 Vol.

<1%

LIU

$38,570 Vol.

<1%

High Point

$73,588 Vol.

<1%

Kennesaw State

$34,914 Vol.

<1%

Prairie View A&M

$0 Vol.

<1%

Troy

$45,536 Vol.

<1%

Idaho

$32,527 Vol.

<1%

Hofstra

$50,903 Vol.

<1%

Akron

$75,026 Vol.

<1%

McNeese

$57,253 Vol.

<1%

Texas

$70,296 Vol.

<1%

Siena

$450,681 Vol.

<1%

Cal Baptist

$70,246 Vol.

<1%

Furman

$55,199 Vol.

<1%

Utah State

$126,027 Vol.

<1%

Havaí

$72,668 Vol.

<1%

Queens

$65,670 Vol.

<1%

Lehigh

$42,746 Vol.

<1%

Penn

$67,699 Vol.

<1%

Tennessee State

$66,187 Vol.

<1%

Howard

$49,713 Vol.

<1%

Wright State

$73,534 Vol.

<1%

Duke 20%

Michigan 19%

Arizona 17.3%

Flórida 9.8%

$12,218,307 Vol.

Apr 4, 2026

Duke

$313,687 Vol.

20%

Michigan

$294,161 Vol.

19%

Arizona

$310,898 Vol.

17%

Flórida

$348,581 Vol.

10%

Houston

$213,620 Vol.

Iowa State

$398,178 Vol.

Purdue

$373,911 Vol.

Illinois

$570,242 Vol.

Connecticut

$472,837 Vol.

Arkansas

$243,315 Vol.

Michigan State

$309,219 Vol.

Gonzaga

$426,607 Vol.

St. John's

$230,648 Vol.

Vanderbilt

$243,703 Vol.

Virgínia

$224,820 Vol.

Kansas

$277,727 Vol.

Wisconsin

$195,427 Vol.

UCLA

$278,473 Vol.

Louisville

$231,560 Vol.

Tennessee

$328,171 Vol.

Alabama

$216,124 Vol.

Nebraska

$250,237 Vol.

Kentucky

$197,323 Vol.

<1%

BYU

$232,448 Vol.

<1%

Texas Tech

$236,394 Vol.

<1%

Carolina do Norte

$368,902 Vol.

<1%

St. Mary's

$175,565 Vol.

<1%

Miami (FL)

$187,619 Vol.

<1%

Ohio State

$155,940 Vol.

<1%

Villanova

$195,398 Vol.

<1%

Missouri

$260,533 Vol.

<1%

VCU

$100,213 Vol.

<1%

Iowa

$165,946 Vol.

<1%

Texas A&M

$155,754 Vol.

<1%

Geórgia

$119,887 Vol.

<1%

Saint Louis

$246,209 Vol.

<1%

Clemson

$153,290 Vol.

<1%

TCU

$162,104 Vol.

<1%

Santa Clara

$135,572 Vol.

<1%

UCF

$95,563 Vol.

<1%

Sul da Flórida

$132,128 Vol.

<1%

Miami (OH)

$118,046 Vol.

<1%

SMU

$0 Vol.

<1%

Northern Iowa

$39,464 Vol.

<1%

Dakota do Norte State

$21,423 Vol.

<1%

LIU

$38,570 Vol.

<1%

High Point

$73,588 Vol.

<1%

Kennesaw State

$34,914 Vol.

<1%

Prairie View A&M

$0 Vol.

<1%

Troy

$45,536 Vol.

<1%

Idaho

$32,527 Vol.

<1%

Hofstra

$50,903 Vol.

<1%

Akron

$75,026 Vol.

<1%

McNeese

$57,253 Vol.

<1%

Texas

$70,296 Vol.

<1%

Siena

$450,681 Vol.

<1%

Cal Baptist

$70,246 Vol.

<1%

Furman

$55,199 Vol.

<1%

Utah State

$126,027 Vol.

<1%

Havaí

$72,668 Vol.

<1%

Queens

$65,670 Vol.

<1%

Lehigh

$42,746 Vol.

<1%

Penn

$67,699 Vol.

<1%

Tennessee State

$66,187 Vol.

<1%

Howard

$49,713 Vol.

<1%

Wright State

$73,534 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Duke's lead in implied probability stems from its nation's top-rated 2025 recruiting class, featuring five-star talents like VJ Edgecombe and Khaman Maluach, bolstering Cooper Flagg's core amid Scheyer's portal savvy. Michigan trails closely, fueled by Dusty May's rapid rebuild via FAU-style transfers and high-upside freshmen, while Arizona's continuity under Tommy Lloyd and Florida's portal hauls create parity. Trader consensus reflects recruiting parity among bluebloods, with current-season outcomes still shaping returnees and the transfer portal's volatility keeping the top trio bunched under 20%—highlighting development risks, matchup uncertainties, and the wisdom of crowds in early futures pricing.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 18, 2026, 7:10 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Duke" at 20%, followed by "Michigan" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" has generated $12.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is "Duke" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michigan" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $12.2 million traded on “Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 20¢ for "Duke" in the "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 20% chance that "Duke" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 20¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 80¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 4, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" market has an active community of 39 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (39)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

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