Trader consensus pins Arizona slightly ahead in the 2026 NCAA Tournament futures at 19.1%, but razor-thin gaps to Michigan (18.5%) and Duke (17.5%) underscore intense parity fueled by the transfer portal and elite 2025 recruiting hauls. Arizona's edge stems from Tommy Lloyd's top-seven class featuring high-upside guards like Isiah Harwell alongside portal reinforcements and returning core production. Michigan's rapid ascent reflects Dusty May's FAU blueprint, bolstered by the nation's top transfer class including Danny Wolf and Tre Donaldson. Duke relies on No. 1 recruit Cooper Flagg, yet no squad dominates amid Big Ten/ACC/SEC depth, with outcomes hinging on early-season chemistry, injuries, and conference gauntlets that breed volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoArizona 19.1%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Flórida 8.9%
$22,473,816 Vol.
$22,473,816 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Flórida
9%
Houston
7%
Iowa State
4%
Illinois
4%
Purdue
4%
Connecticut
4%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St. John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
UCLA
1%
Kansas
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Virgínia
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Iowa
<1%
VCU
<1%
Clemson
<1%
Villanova
<1%
UCF
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Missouri
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
Wright State
<1%
Arizona 19.1%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Flórida 8.9%
$22,473,816 Vol.
$22,473,816 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Flórida
9%
Houston
7%
Iowa State
4%
Illinois
4%
Purdue
4%
Connecticut
4%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St. John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
UCLA
1%
Kansas
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Virgínia
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Iowa
<1%
VCU
<1%
Clemson
<1%
Villanova
<1%
UCF
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Missouri
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
Wright State
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Não
Janela de disputa
Final
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus pins Arizona slightly ahead in the 2026 NCAA Tournament futures at 19.1%, but razor-thin gaps to Michigan (18.5%) and Duke (17.5%) underscore intense parity fueled by the transfer portal and elite 2025 recruiting hauls. Arizona's edge stems from Tommy Lloyd's top-seven class featuring high-upside guards like Isiah Harwell alongside portal reinforcements and returning core production. Michigan's rapid ascent reflects Dusty May's FAU blueprint, bolstered by the nation's top transfer class including Danny Wolf and Tre Donaldson. Duke relies on No. 1 recruit Cooper Flagg, yet no squad dominates amid Big Ten/ACC/SEC depth, with outcomes hinging on early-season chemistry, injuries, and conference gauntlets that breed volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions