Duke's slight edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament stems from coach Jon Scheyer's top-ranked 2025 recruiting class, featuring elite prospects like No. 1 overall recruit AJ Dybantsa and versatile big Khaman Maluach, bolstering a reloaded roster post-Flagg era. Michigan's rapid rise under new coach Dusty May reflects savvy transfer portal additions and Final Four pedigree, while Arizona's Tommy Lloyd maintains momentum with consistent high-major hauls and Pac-12 advantages. This tight top-three bunching—within 2.2 points—highlights nationwide parity from stellar freshman classes (Arkansas, Florida close behind), unresolved commitments, and portal volatility, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in an unpredictable two-year outlook where development and injuries loom large.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoDuke 20%
Michigan 19%
Arizona 17.3%
Flórida 9.8%
$12,232,199 Vol.
$12,232,199 Vol.
Duke
20%
Michigan
19%
Arizona
17%
Flórida
10%
Houston
8%
Iowa State
5%
Purdue
4%
Illinois
3%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
2%
Michigan State
2%
Gonzaga
1%
St. John's
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Virgínia
1%
Kansas
1%
Wisconsin
1%
UCLA
1%
Louisville
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Nebraska
1%
Kentucky
<1%
BYU
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Carolina do Norte
<1%
St. Mary's
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Ohio State
<1%
Villanova
<1%
Missouri
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Geórgia
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
Clemson
<1%
TCU
<1%
Santa Clara
<1%
UCF
<1%
Sul da Flórida
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
SMU
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
Dakota do Norte State
<1%
LIU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Kennesaw State
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Troy
<1%
Idaho
<1%
Hofstra
<1%
Akron
<1%
McNeese
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Siena
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Havaí
<1%
Queens
<1%
Lehigh
<1%
Penn
<1%
Tennessee State
<1%
Howard
<1%
Wright State
<1%
Duke 20%
Michigan 19%
Arizona 17.3%
Flórida 9.8%
$12,232,199 Vol.
$12,232,199 Vol.
Duke
20%
Michigan
19%
Arizona
17%
Flórida
10%
Houston
8%
Iowa State
5%
Purdue
4%
Illinois
3%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
2%
Michigan State
2%
Gonzaga
1%
St. John's
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Virgínia
1%
Kansas
1%
Wisconsin
1%
UCLA
1%
Louisville
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Nebraska
1%
Kentucky
<1%
BYU
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Carolina do Norte
<1%
St. Mary's
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Ohio State
<1%
Villanova
<1%
Missouri
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Geórgia
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
Clemson
<1%
TCU
<1%
Santa Clara
<1%
UCF
<1%
Sul da Flórida
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
SMU
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
Dakota do Norte State
<1%
LIU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Kennesaw State
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Troy
<1%
Idaho
<1%
Hofstra
<1%
Akron
<1%
McNeese
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Siena
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Havaí
<1%
Queens
<1%
Lehigh
<1%
Penn
<1%
Tennessee State
<1%
Howard
<1%
Wright State
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Duke's slight edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament stems from coach Jon Scheyer's top-ranked 2025 recruiting class, featuring elite prospects like No. 1 overall recruit AJ Dybantsa and versatile big Khaman Maluach, bolstering a reloaded roster post-Flagg era. Michigan's rapid rise under new coach Dusty May reflects savvy transfer portal additions and Final Four pedigree, while Arizona's Tommy Lloyd maintains momentum with consistent high-major hauls and Pac-12 advantages. This tight top-three bunching—within 2.2 points—highlights nationwide parity from stellar freshman classes (Arkansas, Florida close behind), unresolved commitments, and portal volatility, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in an unpredictable two-year outlook where development and injuries loom large.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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