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icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick

2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick

2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick

Caleb Wilson 71%

Cameron Boozer 18%

Darryn Peterson 5%

Darius Acuff Jr. 3.9%

Polymarket

$137,162 Vol.

Caleb Wilson 71%

Cameron Boozer 18%

Darryn Peterson 5%

Darius Acuff Jr. 3.9%

Polymarket

$137,162 Vol.

Caleb Wilson

$2,725 Vol.

71%

Cameron Boozer

$722 Vol.

18%

Darryn Peterson

$145 Vol.

5%

Darius Acuff Jr.

$1,057 Vol.

4%

Will Quaintance

$130 Vol.

3%

Yaxel Lendeborg

$56,804 Vol.

2%

Hannes Steinbach

$31,991 Vol.

1%

Keaton Wagler

$111 Vol.

1%

Karim Lopez

$749 Vol.

1%

Kingston Flemings

$229 Vol.

1%

AJ Dybantsa

$25,143 Vol.

1%

Mikel Brown Jr.

$1,493 Vol.

1%

LaBaron Philon

$1,767 Vol.

1%

Nate Ament

$115 Vol.

<1%

Bennett Stirtz

$13,981 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Caleb Wilson leads the market at 70% as the projected fourth overall selection because recent scouting consensus places him immediately behind AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, and Cameron Boozer in the 2026 class. Wilson posted 19.8 points, 9.4 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 1.5 steals, and 1.4 blocks per game as a North Carolina freshman before a late-season thumb injury, earning All-ACC and All-American honors while showcasing two-way versatility at 6-10. Multiple executives now rank him ahead of Boozer on personal boards, and mock drafts frequently slot him to the Chicago Bulls at four once the top three are taken. Boozer’s strong Duke season keeps him at 18%, but the gap reflects Wilson’s recent surge in pre-draft evaluations and combine feedback. The remaining prospects sit below 5% amid a clear drop-off after the top four.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$137,162
Data de Término
24 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Caleb Wilson leads the market at 70% as the projected fourth overall selection because recent scouting consensus places him immediately behind AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, and Cameron Boozer in the 2026 class. Wilson posted 19.8 points, 9.4 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 1.5 steals, and 1.4 blocks per game as a North Carolina freshman before a late-season thumb injury, earning All-ACC and All-American honors while showcasing two-way versatility at 6-10. Multiple executives now rank him ahead of Boozer on personal boards, and mock drafts frequently slot him to the Chicago Bulls at four once the top three are taken. Boozer’s strong Duke season keeps him at 18%, but the gap reflects Wilson’s recent surge in pre-draft evaluations and combine feedback. The remaining prospects sit below 5% amid a clear drop-off after the top four.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$137,162
Data de Término
24 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Caleb Wilson" at 71%, followed by "Cameron Boozer" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" has generated $137.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" is "Caleb Wilson" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cameron Boozer" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.