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Torneio de Candidatas Femininas da FIDE de 2026: Vencedora

Market icon

Torneio de Candidatas Femininas da FIDE de 2026: Vencedora

Outra (incluindo Anna Muzychuk) 42%

Zhu Jiner 22%

Aleksandra Goryachkina 16%

Kateryna Lagno 14%

Polymarket
NOVO

Outra (incluindo Anna Muzychuk) 42%

Zhu Jiner 22%

Aleksandra Goryachkina 16%

Kateryna Lagno 14%

Polymarket
NOVO

Outra (incluindo Anna Muzychuk)

$497 Vol.

42%

Zhu Jiner

$402 Vol.

22%

Aleksandra Goryachkina

$677 Vol.

16%

Kateryna Lagno

$602 Vol.

14%

Bibisara Assaubayeva

$705 Vol.

8%

Tan Zhongyi

$578 Vol.

5%

Vaishali R

$630 Vol.

5%

Divya Deshmukh

$524 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anna Muzychuk's surge to sole first place at 4/7 in the ongoing FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament 2026, held in Cyprus through April 16, anchors trader consensus at 46% implied probability for Other including her, boosted by her round-6 upset win over top seed Zhu Jiner (2578 Elo) after entering as a late replacement for Koneru Humpy's withdrawal. Zhu Jiner holds 21% as the highest-rated contender despite the setback, reflecting her Grand Prix victory qualification and prior form, while Aleksandra Goryachkina (16%) and Kateryna Lagno (14%) remain competitive on 3 points each in the double round-robin classical format, with unbeaten streaks and strong head-to-heads. Indian qualifiers Divya Deshmukh and Vaishali Rameshbabu gained momentum via recent victories, tightening the chase among the eight contenders for the Women's World Championship challenger spot.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,826
Data de Término
17 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anna Muzychuk's surge to sole first place at 4/7 in the ongoing FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament 2026, held in Cyprus through April 16, anchors trader consensus at 46% implied probability for Other including her, boosted by her round-6 upset win over top seed Zhu Jiner (2578 Elo) after entering as a late replacement for Koneru Humpy's withdrawal. Zhu Jiner holds 21% as the highest-rated contender despite the setback, reflecting her Grand Prix victory qualification and prior form, while Aleksandra Goryachkina (16%) and Kateryna Lagno (14%) remain competitive on 3 points each in the double round-robin classical format, with unbeaten streaks and strong head-to-heads. Indian qualifiers Divya Deshmukh and Vaishali Rameshbabu gained momentum via recent victories, tightening the chase among the eight contenders for the Women's World Championship challenger spot.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,826
Data de Término
17 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Torneio de Candidatas Femininas da FIDE de 2026: Vencedora" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outra (incluindo Anna Muzychuk)" at 42%, followed by "Zhu Jiner" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Torneio de Candidatas Femininas da FIDE de 2026: Vencedora" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Torneio de Candidatas Femininas da FIDE de 2026: Vencedora," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Torneio de Candidatas Femininas da FIDE de 2026: Vencedora" is "Outra (incluindo Anna Muzychuk)" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zhu Jiner" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Torneio de Candidatas Femininas da FIDE de 2026: Vencedora" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.