Mercedes' George Russell and Kimi Antonelli lead Polymarket's F1 Drivers' Champion odds at 44.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting the team's dominant start to the 2026 season with a 1-2 championship standings after three Grands Prix. Antonelli surged to the top with back-to-back victories in China and Japan—his maiden F1 win in Shanghai followed by a commanding performance from pole at Suzuka—while Russell opened with a win in Australia before finishing fourth last weekend. Trader consensus highlights Mercedes' superior pace and reliability amid Red Bull's struggles, positioning the teammates as clear favorites despite Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (5.5%) showing podium form. Antonelli's rookie brilliance has narrowed the intra-team gap, but Russell's experience gives him the edge in this tight title hunt.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoGeorge Russell 44%
Kimi Antonelli 31.5%
Charles Leclerc 5.5%
Oscar Piastri 5.0%
$79,343,273 Vol.
$79,343,273 Vol.
George Russell
44%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
Charles Leclerc
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lando Norris
3%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Max Verstappen
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
George Russell 44%
Kimi Antonelli 31.5%
Charles Leclerc 5.5%
Oscar Piastri 5.0%
$79,343,273 Vol.
$79,343,273 Vol.
George Russell
44%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
Charles Leclerc
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lando Norris
3%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Max Verstappen
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' George Russell and Kimi Antonelli lead Polymarket's F1 Drivers' Champion odds at 44.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting the team's dominant start to the 2026 season with a 1-2 championship standings after three Grands Prix. Antonelli surged to the top with back-to-back victories in China and Japan—his maiden F1 win in Shanghai followed by a commanding performance from pole at Suzuka—while Russell opened with a win in Australia before finishing fourth last weekend. Trader consensus highlights Mercedes' superior pace and reliability amid Red Bull's struggles, positioning the teammates as clear favorites despite Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (5.5%) showing podium form. Antonelli's rookie brilliance has narrowed the intra-team gap, but Russell's experience gives him the edge in this tight title hunt.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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