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luish

Joined May 2024·323 views

focus on geopolitics and tech

$3,687.66

Positions Value

$455.01

Biggest Win

194

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$31.43
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 83¢
1,851.0 shares
$1,499.31-$37.56 (-2.44%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

No 73.1¢
413.6 shares
$332.91$30.71 (10.16%)
icon for Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 98.8¢
300.0 shares
$299.99$3.60 (1.21%)
icon for Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 62.9¢
200.0 shares
$154.00$28.11 (22.33%)
icon for Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?

Yes 95.5¢
150.0 shares
$149.98$6.80 (4.75%)
icon for Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

No 80¢
187.8 shares
$148.39-$1.88 (-1.25%)
icon for EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

No 68.6¢
166.0 shares
$142.72$28.86 (25.34%)
icon for Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Yes 40.9¢
268.5 shares
$110.08$0.15 (0.14%)
icon for Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 85¢
100.0 shares
$90.55$5.55 (6.53%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

No 36.1¢
109.9 shares
$77.46$37.80 (95.3%)
icon for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 67¢
100.0 shares
$68.50$1.50 (2.24%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

No 73.7¢
100.0 shares
$66.50-$7.20 (-9.77%)
icon for Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Yes 96.1¢
60.0 shares
$60.00$2.34 (4.06%)
icon for UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

No 67.1¢
82.3 shares
$59.25$4.01 (7.25%)
icon for Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 96.4¢
40.0 shares
$39.36$0.80 (2.07%)
icon for Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 88¢
41.8 shares
$38.66$1.88 (5.11%)
icon for Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 62¢
40.5 shares
$30.15$5.06 (20.16%)
icon for USDS depeg by December 31?

USDS depeg by December 31?

No 76.8¢
24.4 shares
$20.39$1.63 (8.7%)