Skip to main content

Nobel Peace Prize predictions & odds

·
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Yulia Navalnaya

$16M Vol.

$124K today

$1M Liq.

170

Ends in 5 months

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

2%

$635K Vol.

$108K today

$72.3K Liq.

12

Ends in 20 days

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

12%

$4.7K Vol.

$803 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

61%

June 30

$16M Vol.

$537K today

$380K Liq.

436

Ends in about 2 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

<1%

Fed Rate Cut

$320K Vol.

$51.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

15%

$14.0K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

2%

$15.6K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

85%

Hong Wang

$519K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

79%

Tariff

$48.4K Vol.

$55.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 4 days

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

3%

May 31

$157K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

23

Ends in 20 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

83%

Court

$1.4K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

81%

Make America Great Again

$5.0K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

7%

$70.8K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

75%

Nothing

$74.3K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Petro - Colombia President

$38.7K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$556K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

7%

June 30

$591K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

38

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

19%

↑ $3

$638K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

11%

$6.7K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

$552K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

31

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nobel Peace Prize.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Nobel Peace Prize that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 8% chance to Yulia Navalnaya. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nobel Peace Prize predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.