Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,553,732 Vol.
$1,553,732 Vol.
6 giu 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,553,732 Vol.
$1,553,732 Vol.
6 giu 2026
<40
$291,054 Vol.
No
40-64
$333,008 Vol.
No
65-89
$294,085 Vol.
Yes
90-114
$386,201 Vol.
No
115-139
$124,283 Vol.
No
140-164
$39,688 Vol.
No
165-189
$42,976 Vol.
No
190-214
$16,094 Vol.
No
215-239
$13,544 Vol.
No
240+
$12,799 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,553,732Data di fine
6 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,553,732Data di fine
6 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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