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Macron predictions & odds

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Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

94

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

47%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$844K Vol.

$131K today

$107K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Starmer - UK PM

$352K Vol.

$265K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

64%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$103K Vol.

$65.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

30%

December 31, 2026

$322K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$72M Vol.

$547K today

$6M Liq.

507

Ends in 12 months

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

43%

80-99

$7.1K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

35%

80-99

$833 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

50%

80-99

$18.7K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

99%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9.8K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

7

Ends in 11 months

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

26%

$12.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

23

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

50%

160-179

$8.9K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

68%

180-199

$37.7K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

57%

Canceled

$51.5K Vol.

$66.2K Liq.

12

Ends in 5 months

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

30%

140-159

$1.5K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

90%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$52.5K Vol.

$309K Liq.

16

Ends in 11 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

64%

$568K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump kiss by May 31?

Trump kiss by May 31?

18%

$2.4K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

85%

$35 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Macron.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Macron that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Macron out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $79.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Macron predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.