**Whalefall**'s opening weekend projections sit in a narrow band around $8–16 million, reflecting modest presale momentum and limited star-driven appeal for the survival thriller from 20th Century Studios. Austin Abrams and Josh Brolin headline the adaptation of Daniel Kraus’s novel, but early tracking from Box Office Pro points to a $10–15 million debut, comparable to mid-tier genre entries yet below recent survival films like *Heart of the Beast*. The concept’s claustrophobic whale premise has generated trailer interest, yet the mid-October slot faces typical seasonal competition and lacks strong guild or critic precursors to build buzz. With release just days away, final presales, advance screenings, and any late tracking adjustments will likely decide whether the film lands below $10 million or pushes into the higher tiers.