Tesla (TSLA) share price closed at $376.30 on Friday, April 24, 2026—the final trading day of the week starting April 20—locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $375-$380 bin as traders' consensus aligns with the verified Nasdaq auction price. This positioning stems from Q1 2026 earnings released April 22, where adjusted EPS of $0.41 beat analyst estimates of $0.37 despite revenue of $22.39 billion slightly missing $22.64 billion expectations, followed by elevated 2026 capital expenditure guidance for AI and robotics that prompted a 4% weekly pullback from April 20's $392.50 close amid heightened volatility. The overwhelming trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects the event's resolution; realistic challenges would require rare official data revisions from the exchange.