Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
>7m 100.0%
<4m <1%
4-5m <1%
5-6m <1%
$368,479 Wol.
$368,479 Wol.
Jun 1, 2026
<4m
No
4-5m
No
5-6m
No
6-7m
No
>7m
Yes
>7m 100.0%
<4m <1%
4-5m <1%
5-6m <1%
$368,479 Wol.
$368,479 Wol.
Jun 1, 2026
<4m
$13,788 Wol.
No
4-5m
$31,426 Wol.
No
5-6m
$21,224 Wol.
No
6-7m
$86,444 Wol.
No
>7m
$215,597 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$368,479Data zakończenia
Jun 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$368,479Data zakończenia
Jun 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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