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What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

icon for What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$7,000-$7,500 26%

$7,500-$8,000 22%

>$8,000 19%

$6,500-$7,000 15%

Polymarket

$28,506 Wol.

$7,000-$7,500 26%

$7,500-$8,000 22%

>$8,000 19%

$6,500-$7,000 15%

Polymarket

$28,506 Wol.

<$6,000

$16,283 Wol.

10%

$6,000-$6,500

$1,760 Wol.

7%

$6,500-$7,000

$2,987 Wol.

15%

$7,000-$7,500

$1,476 Wol.

26%

$7,500-$8,000

$2,955 Wol.

22%

>$8,000

$3,045 Wol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth expectations, fueled by AI-driven revenue expansion and recent upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs targeting 8,000, anchor trader sentiment around the $7,000–$8,000 range for the S&P 500 close at end-2026, with the index near 7,519 amid elevated valuations near 21 times forward earnings. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which risk higher energy costs and sticky inflation, temper upside beyond 8,000 while supporting the balanced distribution across the leading bins. This reflects closely contested market-implied odds, where robust 25% projected EPS growth competes with macro headwinds, and resolution of conflicts or further earnings beats could shift probabilities toward higher bands ahead of year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Wolumen
$28,506
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth expectations, fueled by AI-driven revenue expansion and recent upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs targeting 8,000, anchor trader sentiment around the $7,000–$8,000 range for the S&P 500 close at end-2026, with the index near 7,519 amid elevated valuations near 21 times forward earnings. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which risk higher energy costs and sticky inflation, temper upside beyond 8,000 while supporting the balanced distribution across the leading bins. This reflects closely contested market-implied odds, where robust 25% projected EPS growth competes with macro headwinds, and resolution of conflicts or further earnings beats could shift probabilities toward higher bands ahead of year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Wolumen
$28,506
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."

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Często zadawane pytania

"What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "$7,000-$7,500" z 26%, za nim "$7,500-$8,000" z 22%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 26¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 26% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?" wygenerował $28.5K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 7, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?" jest "$7,000-$7,500" z 26%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 26% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "$7,500-$8,000" z 22%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.