Recent polling ahead of Quebec's October 2026 general election shows a tightening three-way race, with the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in most surveys, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has rebounded under new Premier Christine Fréchette. This dynamic stems from the PQ's consistent strength among Francophone voters, the PLQ's renewed competitiveness following Charles Milliard's leadership, and the CAQ's five-to-nine-point gains in the past month that position it as a viable contender. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probability to the PQ based on these trends and historical patterns in seat outcomes under first-past-the-post.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGeneralny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
PQ 56%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$536,798 Wol.
$536,798 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
56%
PLQ
25%
CAQ
18%
PCQ
1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 56%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$536,798 Wol.
$536,798 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$55,261 Wol.
56%
PLQ
$57,926 Wol.
25%
CAQ
$66,134 Wol.
18%
PCQ
$166,468 Wol.
1%
QS
$69,240 Wol.
<1%
PVQ
$121,768 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of Quebec's October 2026 general election shows a tightening three-way race, with the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in most surveys, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has rebounded under new Premier Christine Fréchette. This dynamic stems from the PQ's consistent strength among Francophone voters, the PLQ's renewed competitiveness following Charles Milliard's leadership, and the CAQ's five-to-nine-point gains in the past month that position it as a viable contender. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probability to the PQ based on these trends and historical patterns in seat outcomes under first-past-the-post.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$536,798Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of Quebec's October 2026 general election shows a tightening three-way race, with the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in most surveys, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has rebounded under new Premier Christine Fréchette. This dynamic stems from the PQ's consistent strength among Francophone voters, the PLQ's renewed competitiveness following Charles Milliard's leadership, and the CAQ's five-to-nine-point gains in the past month that position it as a viable contender. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probability to the PQ based on these trends and historical patterns in seat outcomes under first-past-the-post.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$536,798Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Quebec's October 2026 general election shows a tightening three-way race, with the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in most surveys, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has rebounded under new Premier Christine Fréchette. This dynamic stems from the PQ's consistent strength among Francophone voters, the PLQ's renewed competitiveness following Charles Milliard's leadership, and the CAQ's five-to-nine-point gains in the past month that position it as a viable contender. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probability to the PQ based on these trends and historical patterns in seat outcomes under first-past-the-post.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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