Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals running neck-and-neck in popular vote around 30 percent each, yet seat projections favor the PQ due to stronger concentration among Francophone voters and more efficient distribution across ridings. The CAQ trails after François Legault’s January resignation and the April leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, though it has posted modest gains in the latest surveys. Minor parties remain marginal as attention centers on the two leading contenders ahead of the fixed October 5 election date. Trader consensus reflects these regional and incumbency dynamics in the current probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGeneralny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
PQ 56%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$536,798 Wol.
$536,798 Wol.

PQ
56%

PLQ
25%

CAQ
18%

PCQ
1%

QS
<1%

PVQ
<1%
PQ 56%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$536,798 Wol.
$536,798 Wol.

PQ
56%

PLQ
25%

CAQ
18%

PCQ
1%

QS
<1%

PVQ
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals running neck-and-neck in popular vote around 30 percent each, yet seat projections favor the PQ due to stronger concentration among Francophone voters and more efficient distribution across ridings. The CAQ trails after François Legault’s January resignation and the April leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, though it has posted modest gains in the latest surveys. Minor parties remain marginal as attention centers on the two leading contenders ahead of the fixed October 5 election date. Trader consensus reflects these regional and incumbency dynamics in the current probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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