Skip to main content
Market icon
Świat·Wybory Globalne

Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu

Market icon
Świat·Wybory Globalne

Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu

PQ 50%

PLQ 37%

CAQ 9%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$445,293 Wol.

PQ 50%

PLQ 37%

CAQ 9%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$445,293 Wol.

Czy Partia Quebecu (Parti Québécois) zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w wyborach powszechnych w Quebecu w 2026 roku? icon

PQ

$46,882 Wol.

50%

Czy Parti libéral du Québec zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w wyborach powszechnych w Quebecu w 2026 roku? icon

PLQ

$52,244 Wol.

37%

Czy Koalicja Przyszłość Quebecu (CAQ) zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w wyborach powszechnych w Quebecu w 2026 roku? icon

CAQ

$43,834 Wol.

9%

Czy Parti conservateur du Québec zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w wyborach powszechnych w Quebecu w 2026 roku? icon

PCQ

$146,717 Wol.

1%

Czy Parti vert du Québec zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w wyborach powszechnych w Quebecu w 2026 roku? icon

PVQ

$106,954 Wol.

<1%

Czy Québec solidaire zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w wyborach powszechnych w Quebecu w 2026 roku? icon

QS

$48,662 Wol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting projections showing PQ securing around 59 seats despite recent polls giving the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) a slim vote share lead of 32-33% over PQ's 29-32%. This stems from PQ's stronger regional support outside Montreal, where PLQ dominates, enabling an efficient path to plurality per 338Canada models. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid Premier Christine Fréchette's recent April 15 swearing-in following François Legault's January resignation and a bruising leadership race, collapsing CAQ support to 11-14%. PLQ's surge under new leader Charles Milliard has narrowed the gap since March, but uncertainty persists ahead of the National Assembly's May 5 return.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$445,293
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting projections showing PQ securing around 59 seats despite recent polls giving the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) a slim vote share lead of 32-33% over PQ's 29-32%. This stems from PQ's stronger regional support outside Montreal, where PLQ dominates, enabling an efficient path to plurality per 338Canada models. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid Premier Christine Fréchette's recent April 15 swearing-in following François Legault's January resignation and a bruising leadership race, collapsing CAQ support to 11-14%. PLQ's surge under new leader Charles Milliard has narrowed the gap since March, but uncertainty persists ahead of the National Assembly's May 5 return.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$445,293
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "PQ" z 50%, za nim "PLQ" z 37%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 50¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 50% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu" wygenerował $445.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 2, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu" jest "PQ" z 50%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 50% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "PLQ" z 37%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.