Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement ruling out any IPO before 2028 remains the dominant factor anchoring the 39.5% market-implied probability on that outcome, reinforced by the company’s continued access to private capital. The AI search startup closed a $200 million round at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 and reached roughly $500 million annualized revenue by April 2026, giving it ample runway without public-market pressure. Traders assign lower odds to near-term listings or higher closing valuations because strong private funding rounds and revenue growth allow the firm to remain independent while scaling its large language model capabilities against established search platforms. No new regulatory or competitive developments in the past month have altered this consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPerplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028 40%
75B–100B 14.8%
30B–40B 6.1%
20B–30B 6.0%
$142,742 Wol.
$142,742 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
6%
20B–30B
6%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
5%
50B–75B
6%
75B–100B
15%
100B+
6%
No IPO before 2028
40%
No IPO before 2028 40%
75B–100B 14.8%
30B–40B 6.1%
20B–30B 6.0%
$142,742 Wol.
$142,742 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
$4,576 Wol.
6%
20B–30B
$7,645 Wol.
6%
30B–40B
$4,460 Wol.
6%
40B–50B
$4,307 Wol.
5%
50B–75B
$6,327 Wol.
6%
75B–100B
$3,556 Wol.
15%
100B+
$5,051 Wol.
6%
No IPO before 2028
$106,820 Wol.
40%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement ruling out any IPO before 2028 remains the dominant factor anchoring the 39.5% market-implied probability on that outcome, reinforced by the company’s continued access to private capital. The AI search startup closed a $200 million round at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 and reached roughly $500 million annualized revenue by April 2026, giving it ample runway without public-market pressure. Traders assign lower odds to near-term listings or higher closing valuations because strong private funding rounds and revenue growth allow the firm to remain independent while scaling its large language model capabilities against established search platforms. No new regulatory or competitive developments in the past month have altered this consensus.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$142,742Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement ruling out any IPO before 2028 remains the dominant factor anchoring the 39.5% market-implied probability on that outcome, reinforced by the company’s continued access to private capital. The AI search startup closed a $200 million round at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 and reached roughly $500 million annualized revenue by April 2026, giving it ample runway without public-market pressure. Traders assign lower odds to near-term listings or higher closing valuations because strong private funding rounds and revenue growth allow the firm to remain independent while scaling its large language model capabilities against established search platforms. No new regulatory or competitive developments in the past month have altered this consensus.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$142,742Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement ruling out any IPO before 2028 remains the dominant factor anchoring the 39.5% market-implied probability on that outcome, reinforced by the company’s continued access to private capital. The AI search startup closed a $200 million round at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 and reached roughly $500 million annualized revenue by April 2026, giving it ample runway without public-market pressure. Traders assign lower odds to near-term listings or higher closing valuations because strong private funding rounds and revenue growth allow the firm to remain independent while scaling its large language model capabilities against established search platforms. No new regulatory or competitive developments in the past month have altered this consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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