Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.4% on Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, driven by the complete absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictments, or federal court proceedings against the former president despite years of partisan allegations. Recent declassifications from DNI in July 2025 and a Florida grand jury probe into Obama-era officials in early April 2026 have fueled social media rumors of treason or espionage tied to the 2016 Russia investigation, but primary sources confirm no special counsel actions or arrests have materialized under FBI Director Kash Patel. Historical precedents like the Durham report criticized FBI handling without Obama-specific charges, underscoring high legal barriers including evidentiary hurdles and statute limitations for pre-2017 events, with no scheduled hearings to shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.4% on Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, driven by the complete absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictments, or federal court proceedings against the former president despite years of partisan allegations. Recent declassifications from DNI in July 2025 and a Florida grand jury probe into Obama-era officials in early April 2026 have fueled social media rumors of treason or espionage tied to the 2016 Russia investigation, but primary sources confirm no special counsel actions or arrests have materialized under FBI Director Kash Patel. Historical precedents like the Durham report criticized FBI handling without Obama-specific charges, underscoring high legal barriers including evidentiary hurdles and statute limitations for pre-2017 events, with no scheduled hearings to shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,096Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.4% on Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, driven by the complete absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictments, or federal court proceedings against the former president despite years of partisan allegations. Recent declassifications from DNI in July 2025 and a Florida grand jury probe into Obama-era officials in early April 2026 have fueled social media rumors of treason or espionage tied to the 2016 Russia investigation, but primary sources confirm no special counsel actions or arrests have materialized under FBI Director Kash Patel. Historical precedents like the Durham report criticized FBI handling without Obama-specific charges, underscoring high legal barriers including evidentiary hurdles and statute limitations for pre-2017 events, with no scheduled hearings to shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$4,096Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.4% on Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, driven by the complete absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictments, or federal court proceedings against the former president despite years of partisan allegations. Recent declassifications from DNI in July 2025 and a Florida grand jury probe into Obama-era officials in early April 2026 have fueled social media rumors of treason or espionage tied to the 2016 Russia investigation, but primary sources confirm no special counsel actions or arrests have materialized under FBI Director Kash Patel. Historical precedents like the Durham report criticized FBI handling without Obama-specific charges, underscoring high legal barriers including evidentiary hurdles and statute limitations for pre-2017 events, with no scheduled hearings to shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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