Google's recent I/O 2026 keynote, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive "next month" after showcasing the lighter 3.5 Flash variant, drives the tightly clustered mid-June probabilities for the next Pro model release. Traders weigh typical Google timelines for preview rollouts to developers and the Gemini app against competitive pressure from rival labs accelerating frontier large language model updates. Historical patterns of staggered launches, benchmark optimizations, and potential last-minute refinements create the spread across June dates, while the low odds on no release by month-end reflect strong market consensus around the announced window amid ongoing AI capability races.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
June 23 31%
June 17 24%
June 18 24%
June 26 16%
June 26
16%
June 13
6%
June 23
31%
June 24
27%
On or prior to June 2
8%
June 8
6%
June 10
24%
June 20
6%
June 3
5%
June 4
8%
June 5
6%
June 6
6%
June 15
28%
June 21
4%
June 25
26%
June 7
4%
June 9
24%
June 11
17%
June 12
7%
June 14
5%
June 16
16%
June 17
24%
June 18
24%
June 19
7%
June 30
26%
June 22
1%
June 27
5%
June 28
3%
June 29
23%
No release by June 30
7%
June 23 31%
June 17 24%
June 18 24%
June 26 16%
June 26
16%
June 13
6%
June 23
31%
June 24
27%
On or prior to June 2
8%
June 8
6%
June 10
24%
June 20
6%
June 3
5%
June 4
8%
June 5
6%
June 6
6%
June 15
28%
June 21
4%
June 25
26%
June 7
4%
June 9
24%
June 11
17%
June 12
7%
June 14
5%
June 16
16%
June 17
24%
June 18
24%
June 19
7%
June 30
26%
June 22
1%
June 27
5%
June 28
3%
June 29
23%
No release by June 30
7%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's recent I/O 2026 keynote, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive "next month" after showcasing the lighter 3.5 Flash variant, drives the tightly clustered mid-June probabilities for the next Pro model release. Traders weigh typical Google timelines for preview rollouts to developers and the Gemini app against competitive pressure from rival labs accelerating frontier large language model updates. Historical patterns of staggered launches, benchmark optimizations, and potential last-minute refinements create the spread across June dates, while the low odds on no release by month-end reflect strong market consensus around the announced window amid ongoing AI capability races.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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