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icon for Mulka By-Election Winner
Świat·Australia

Mulka By-Election Winner

icon for Mulka By-Election Winner
Świat·Australia

Mulka By-Election Winner

Polymarket

$3,653 Wol.

Polymarket

$3,653 Wol.

icon for Andrew Blamey

Andrew Blamey

$1,033 Wol.

No

icon for Yiwarr McGrath

Yiwarr McGrath

$2,620 Wol.

Yes

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly seat vacated by independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in August 2026. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, McGrath has emphasized continuity with Guyula’s focus on community-led decision-making, healthcare access, and remote services in eastern Arnhem Land. The electorate, previously a long-term Labor stronghold before Guyula’s independent victories, features limited opposition with only independent Andrew Blamey confirmed as a contender and no Country Liberal Party candidate. Early voting and the short campaign timeline have reinforced trader expectations of a Labor gain, consistent with historical patterns in similar by-elections. Late shifts could occur from unusually high independent turnout or unforeseen local issues, though current positioning leaves little room for other outcomes.

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Wolumen
$3,653
Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://ntec.nt.gov.au/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly seat vacated by independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in August 2026. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, McGrath has emphasized continuity with Guyula’s focus on community-led decision-making, healthcare access, and remote services in eastern Arnhem Land. The electorate, previously a long-term Labor stronghold before Guyula’s independent victories, features limited opposition with only independent Andrew Blamey confirmed as a contender and no Country Liberal Party candidate. Early voting and the short campaign timeline have reinforced trader expectations of a Labor gain, consistent with historical patterns in similar by-elections. Late shifts could occur from unusually high independent turnout or unforeseen local issues, though current positioning leaves little room for other outcomes.

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Wolumen
$3,653
Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://ntec.nt.gov.au/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

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Często zadawane pytania

"Mulka By-Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 2 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Yiwarr McGrath" z 100%, za nim "Andrew Blamey" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Mulka By-Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 31, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Mulka By-Election Winner", przeglądaj 2 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Mulka By-Election Winner" jest "Yiwarr McGrath" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Andrew Blamey" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Mulka By-Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.