The Bureau of Labor Statistics released March 2026 Consumer Price Index data on April 10, showing a 0.9% month-over-month increase in the CPI-U, seasonally adjusted—well above the prior month's 0.3% and confirming trader consensus at 100% implied probability for ≥0.8%. This surge was driven primarily by a 10.9% jump in the energy index, with gasoline prices soaring 21.2% and accounting for nearly three-quarters of the headline gain, amid geopolitical tensions elevating oil prices. Shelter rose modestly 0.3%, food was flat, and core CPI (excluding food and energy) edged up 0.2%, lifting annual inflation to 3.3% from 2.4%. While the official print locks in resolution, rare BLS revisions or data discrepancies could theoretically challenge positioning ahead of the next FOMC review.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMarch Inflation US - Monthly
March Inflation US - Monthly
≥0.8% 100.0%
≤0.3% <1%
0.4% <1%
0.5% <1%
$703,745 Wol.
$703,745 Wol.
≤0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
0.6%
No
0.7%
No
≥0.8%
Yes
≥0.8% 100.0%
≤0.3% <1%
0.4% <1%
0.5% <1%
$703,745 Wol.
$703,745 Wol.
≤0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
0.6%
No
0.7%
No
≥0.8%
Yes
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released March 2026 Consumer Price Index data on April 10, showing a 0.9% month-over-month increase in the CPI-U, seasonally adjusted—well above the prior month's 0.3% and confirming trader consensus at 100% implied probability for ≥0.8%. This surge was driven primarily by a 10.9% jump in the energy index, with gasoline prices soaring 21.2% and accounting for nearly three-quarters of the headline gain, amid geopolitical tensions elevating oil prices. Shelter rose modestly 0.3%, food was flat, and core CPI (excluding food and energy) edged up 0.2%, lifting annual inflation to 3.3% from 2.4%. While the official print locks in resolution, rare BLS revisions or data discrepancies could theoretically challenge positioning ahead of the next FOMC review.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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