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Technologia·AI

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Market icon
Technologia·AI

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Ended: Jan 31

Ended: Jan 31

No release by January 31 100.0%

December 29 <1%

December 30 <1%

December 31 <1%

Polymarket

$786,219 Wol.

No release by January 31 100.0%

December 29 <1%

December 30 <1%

December 31 <1%

Polymarket

$786,219 Wol.

December 29

$320 Wol.

No

December 30

$7,929 Wol.

No

December 31

$3,899 Wol.

No

January 1

$8,456 Wol.

No

January 2

$3,884 Wol.

No

January 3

$9,975 Wol.

No

January 4

$14,876 Wol.

No

January 5

$16,336 Wol.

No

January 6

$5,381 Wol.

No

January 7

$15,979 Wol.

No

January 8

$14,798 Wol.

No

January 9

$5,332 Wol.

No

January 10

$17,240 Wol.

No

January 11

$12,313 Wol.

No

January 12

$12,256 Wol.

No

January 13

$5,212 Wol.

No

January 14

$2,675 Wol.

No

January 15

$9,576 Wol.

No

January 16

$13,610 Wol.

No

January 17

$17,451 Wol.

No

January 18

$19,157 Wol.

No

January 19

$22,871 Wol.

No

January 20

$33,013 Wol.

No

January 21

$43,597 Wol.

No

January 22

$30,696 Wol.

No

January 23

$40,103 Wol.

No

January 24

$26,185 Wol.

No

January 25

$21,300 Wol.

No

January 26

$44,405 Wol.

No

January 27

$46,720 Wol.

No

January 28

$42,973 Wol.

No

January 29

$34,048 Wol.

No

January 30

$45,980 Wol.

No

January 31

$31,549 Wol.

No

No release by January 31

$106,124 Wol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$786,219
Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$786,219
Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Grok 4.20 released on...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 35 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "No release by January 31" z 100%, za nim "December 29" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Grok 4.20 released on...?" wygenerował $786.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 29, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Grok 4.20 released on...?", przeglądaj 35 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Grok 4.20 released on...?" jest "No release by January 31" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "December 29" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Grok 4.20 released on...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.