Alphabet shares closed at $382.97 on May 22 after pulling back from the May 13 peak near $403, producing the current distribution with the widest probability mass clustered between $375 and $395. Traders are pricing limited directional conviction ahead of the May 29 close because the market has largely digested Q1 results—revenue rose 22% to $109.9 billion with Google Cloud surging 63%—and Google I/O AI announcements, leaving price action sensitive to broader tech sentiment, Treasury yields, and any follow-through on elevated 2026 capex guidance. The 19% chance assigned to a close below $365 captures residual downside risk if macro data or sector rotation intensifies, while the thin tail above $410 reflects the barrier posed by the recent high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<$365 19%
$380-$385 18%
$375-$380 16%
$385-$390 16%
<$365
19%
$365-$370
9%
$370-$375
15%
$375-$380
16%
$380-$385
18%
$385-$390
16%
$390-$395
15%
$395-$400
8%
$400-$405
11%
$405-$410
11%
>$410
11%
<$365 19%
$380-$385 18%
$375-$380 16%
$385-$390 16%
<$365
19%
$365-$370
9%
$370-$375
15%
$375-$380
16%
$380-$385
18%
$385-$390
16%
$390-$395
15%
$395-$400
8%
$400-$405
11%
$405-$410
11%
>$410
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Rynek otwarty: May 22, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet shares closed at $382.97 on May 22 after pulling back from the May 13 peak near $403, producing the current distribution with the widest probability mass clustered between $375 and $395. Traders are pricing limited directional conviction ahead of the May 29 close because the market has largely digested Q1 results—revenue rose 22% to $109.9 billion with Google Cloud surging 63%—and Google I/O AI announcements, leaving price action sensitive to broader tech sentiment, Treasury yields, and any follow-through on elevated 2026 capex guidance. The 19% chance assigned to a close below $365 captures residual downside risk if macro data or sector rotation intensifies, while the thin tail above $410 reflects the barrier posed by the recent high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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