Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June gold futures (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 31.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 (26.1%), as spot prices hover near $4,730 following a 2-3% rally this week. The surge stems from U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress easing Middle East tensions, pausing Strait of Hormuz escorts, weakening the U.S. dollar, and pressuring oil prices lower to counter inflation risks after March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year. Central bank accumulation—244 tonnes in Q1 2026—bolsters demand amid de-dollarization trends. Key swing factors include April CPI due May 12; hotter readings could fuel stagflation bids toward $5,000+, while softer data exposes pullback risks amid hawkish Fed undertones. Ongoing geopolitical fragility keeps upside skew alive versus base rates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoW jakim zakresie Gold (GC) rozliczy się w czerwcu?
W jakim zakresie Gold (GC) rozliczy się w czerwcu?
4 600–5 000 USD 32%
4 200–4 600 USD 26.0%
5 000–5 400 USD 17.8%
5 400-5 800 USD 9%
$935,306 Wol.
$935,306 Wol.
<3 800 USD
2%
3 800–4 200 USD
8%
4 200–4 600 USD
26%
4 600–5 000 USD
32%
5 000–5 400 USD
18%
5 400-5 800 USD
9%
5 800–6 200 USD
2%
>6 200 USD
3%
4 600–5 000 USD 32%
4 200–4 600 USD 26.0%
5 000–5 400 USD 17.8%
5 400-5 800 USD 9%
$935,306 Wol.
$935,306 Wol.
<3 800 USD
2%
3 800–4 200 USD
8%
4 200–4 600 USD
26%
4 600–5 000 USD
32%
5 000–5 400 USD
18%
5 400-5 800 USD
9%
5 800–6 200 USD
2%
>6 200 USD
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June gold futures (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 31.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 (26.1%), as spot prices hover near $4,730 following a 2-3% rally this week. The surge stems from U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress easing Middle East tensions, pausing Strait of Hormuz escorts, weakening the U.S. dollar, and pressuring oil prices lower to counter inflation risks after March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year. Central bank accumulation—244 tonnes in Q1 2026—bolsters demand amid de-dollarization trends. Key swing factors include April CPI due May 12; hotter readings could fuel stagflation bids toward $5,000+, while softer data exposes pullback risks amid hawkish Fed undertones. Ongoing geopolitical fragility keeps upside skew alive versus base rates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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