Trader consensus prices incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz at 35.5% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 32% to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, capturing a tight race shaped by ideological tensions over Israel policy and foreign aid. A March 2026 Center for Strategic Politics poll of likely Democratic primary voters showed Larkin leading 49%-36% after balanced biographies highlighting progressive stances, with 63% favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel—contrasting Moskowitz's pro-Israel record—while an earlier survey had Moskowitz ahead 45%-11%. Moskowitz holds a fundraising edge per Q1 FEC reports, bolstered by incumbency in the redrawn coastal South Florida district. Separation could arise from major endorsements, independent polling, debates, or turnout among progressive voters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$20,624 Wol.
$20,624 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
35%
Oliver Adams Larkin
31%
$20,624 Wol.
$20,624 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$9,522 Wol.
35%
Oliver Adams Larkin
$11,102 Wol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz at 35.5% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 32% to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, capturing a tight race shaped by ideological tensions over Israel policy and foreign aid. A March 2026 Center for Strategic Politics poll of likely Democratic primary voters showed Larkin leading 49%-36% after balanced biographies highlighting progressive stances, with 63% favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel—contrasting Moskowitz's pro-Israel record—while an earlier survey had Moskowitz ahead 45%-11%. Moskowitz holds a fundraising edge per Q1 FEC reports, bolstered by incumbency in the redrawn coastal South Florida district. Separation could arise from major endorsements, independent polling, debates, or turnout among progressive voters.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$20,624Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz at 35.5% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 32% to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, capturing a tight race shaped by ideological tensions over Israel policy and foreign aid. A March 2026 Center for Strategic Politics poll of likely Democratic primary voters showed Larkin leading 49%-36% after balanced biographies highlighting progressive stances, with 63% favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel—contrasting Moskowitz's pro-Israel record—while an earlier survey had Moskowitz ahead 45%-11%. Moskowitz holds a fundraising edge per Q1 FEC reports, bolstered by incumbency in the redrawn coastal South Florida district. Separation could arise from major endorsements, independent polling, debates, or turnout among progressive voters.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$20,624Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz at 35.5% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 32% to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, capturing a tight race shaped by ideological tensions over Israel policy and foreign aid. A March 2026 Center for Strategic Politics poll of likely Democratic primary voters showed Larkin leading 49%-36% after balanced biographies highlighting progressive stances, with 63% favoring reduced U.S. military aid to Israel—contrasting Moskowitz's pro-Israel record—while an earlier survey had Moskowitz ahead 45%-11%. Moskowitz holds a fundraising edge per Q1 FEC reports, bolstered by incumbency in the redrawn coastal South Florida district. Separation could arise from major endorsements, independent polling, debates, or turnout among progressive voters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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