Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has consistently delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. With incumbent Byron Donalds pursuing the governorship, the open seat has drawn a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary candidates remain limited. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's Southwest Florida voter base and historical turnout patterns. These structural factors underpin the market's assignment of an 89.5% implied probability to a Republican winner in the November general election, with the Democratic Party holding the remaining share. No recent developments have altered the underlying partisan dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-19 House Election Winner
FL-19 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,641 Wol.
90%
Democratic Party
$972 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has consistently delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. With incumbent Byron Donalds pursuing the governorship, the open seat has drawn a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary candidates remain limited. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's Southwest Florida voter base and historical turnout patterns. These structural factors underpin the market's assignment of an 89.5% implied probability to a Republican winner in the November general election, with the Democratic Party holding the remaining share. No recent developments have altered the underlying partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,613Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has consistently delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. With incumbent Byron Donalds pursuing the governorship, the open seat has drawn a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary candidates remain limited. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's Southwest Florida voter base and historical turnout patterns. These structural factors underpin the market's assignment of an 89.5% implied probability to a Republican winner in the November general election, with the Democratic Party holding the remaining share. No recent developments have altered the underlying partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$3,613Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has consistently delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. With incumbent Byron Donalds pursuing the governorship, the open seat has drawn a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary candidates remain limited. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's Southwest Florida voter base and historical turnout patterns. These structural factors underpin the market's assignment of an 89.5% implied probability to a Republican winner in the November general election, with the Democratic Party holding the remaining share. No recent developments have altered the underlying partisan dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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