Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to Claude Mythos reaching general availability on or prior to June 9 because Anthropic’s April 2026 limited preview on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI has already demonstrated the model’s frontier capabilities in cybersecurity and agentic coding, creating expectations that safety refinements could enable wider access imminently. The preview’s restricted rollout to select partners, driven by its ability to discover zero-day exploits, continues to shape consensus around a cautious but accelerating timeline. No major new announcements have emerged in the past month, leaving the market sensitive to any official statements on expanded safeguards or API access that could resolve the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoClaude Mythos released on…?
Claude Mythos released on…?
On or prior to June 9 72%
June 10 18%
Not released by June 30 3.1%
June 11 2.0%
NOWE
$27,167 Wol.
NOWE
$27,167 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
On or prior to June 9
72%
June 10
18%
June 11
2%
June 12
1%
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
<1%
June 17
1%
June 18
<1%
June 19
<1%
June 20
2%
June 21
<1%
June 22
1%
June 23
<1%
June 24
<1%
June 25
<1%
June 26
<1%
June 27
<1%
June 28
1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
<1%
Not released by June 30
3%
On or prior to June 9 72%
June 10 18%
Not released by June 30 3.1%
June 11 2.0%
NOWE
$27,167 Wol.
NOWE
$27,167 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
On or prior to June 9
$7,131 Wol.
72%
June 10
$2,342 Wol.
18%
June 11
$1,282 Wol.
2%
June 12
$1,172 Wol.
1%
June 13
$1,339 Wol.
<1%
June 14
$667 Wol.
<1%
June 15
$1,196 Wol.
<1%
June 16
$663 Wol.
<1%
June 17
$519 Wol.
1%
June 18
$650 Wol.
<1%
June 19
$767 Wol.
<1%
June 20
$621 Wol.
2%
June 21
$741 Wol.
<1%
June 22
$632 Wol.
1%
June 23
$657 Wol.
<1%
June 24
$567 Wol.
<1%
June 25
$575 Wol.
<1%
June 26
$854 Wol.
<1%
June 27
$624 Wol.
<1%
June 28
$1,488 Wol.
1%
June 29
$792 Wol.
<1%
June 30
$714 Wol.
<1%
Not released by June 30
$1,475 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to Claude Mythos reaching general availability on or prior to June 9 because Anthropic’s April 2026 limited preview on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI has already demonstrated the model’s frontier capabilities in cybersecurity and agentic coding, creating expectations that safety refinements could enable wider access imminently. The preview’s restricted rollout to select partners, driven by its ability to discover zero-day exploits, continues to shape consensus around a cautious but accelerating timeline. No major new announcements have emerged in the past month, leaving the market sensitive to any official statements on expanded safeguards or API access that could resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,167Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to Claude Mythos reaching general availability on or prior to June 9 because Anthropic’s April 2026 limited preview on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI has already demonstrated the model’s frontier capabilities in cybersecurity and agentic coding, creating expectations that safety refinements could enable wider access imminently. The preview’s restricted rollout to select partners, driven by its ability to discover zero-day exploits, continues to shape consensus around a cautious but accelerating timeline. No major new announcements have emerged in the past month, leaving the market sensitive to any official statements on expanded safeguards or API access that could resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$27,167Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to Claude Mythos reaching general availability on or prior to June 9 because Anthropic’s April 2026 limited preview on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI has already demonstrated the model’s frontier capabilities in cybersecurity and agentic coding, creating expectations that safety refinements could enable wider access imminently. The preview’s restricted rollout to select partners, driven by its ability to discover zero-day exploits, continues to shape consensus around a cautious but accelerating timeline. No major new announcements have emerged in the past month, leaving the market sensitive to any official statements on expanded safeguards or API access that could resolve the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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