Skip to main content
icon for Claude 4.8 released by...?
Technologia·AI

Claude 4.8 released by...?

icon for Claude 4.8 released by...?
Technologia·AI

Claude 4.8 released by...?

NOWE
Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket

$30 Wol.

Polymarket

May 31

$20 Wol.

10%

June 15

$0 Wol.

51%

June 30

$0 Wol.

54%

July 31

$10 Wol.

85%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$30
Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$30
Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Claude 4.8 released by...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "July 31" z 85%, za nim "June 30" z 55%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 85¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 85% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Claude 4.8 released by...?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony May 26, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Claude 4.8 released by...?", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Claude 4.8 released by...?" jest "July 31" z 85%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 85% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "June 30" z 55%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Claude 4.8 released by...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.