Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East, including assumed closures of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins in Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, remain the dominant driver elevating WTI crude prices near $88 per barrel as of late May 2026. These supply constraints have prompted sharp inventory draws, supporting Brent averages around $106 in the EIA’s May–June outlook, though markets price in partial normalization by quarter-end. OPEC+ members recently agreed to a modest 188,000 barrel-per-day output increase starting in June to promote stability, while global demand growth forecasts for 2026 have been trimmed amid softer economic signals. Traders monitor the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and any easing of regional tensions as key swing factors that could shift the balance between ongoing supply tightness and returning barrels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$127,195 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
$90
48%
$85
54%
$80
70%
$75
86%
$70
89%
$65
92%
$63
94%
$60
94%
$56
96%
$55
97%
$52
98%
$50
97%
$127,195 Wol.
$90
$25,907 Wol.
48%
$85
$5,793 Wol.
54%
$80
$5,937 Wol.
70%
$75
$16,756 Wol.
86%
$70
$19,604 Wol.
89%
$65
$872 Wol.
92%
$63
$8,961 Wol.
94%
$60
$21,068 Wol.
94%
$56
$4,950 Wol.
96%
$55
$2,914 Wol.
97%
$52
$6,332 Wol.
98%
$50
$8,100 Wol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East, including assumed closures of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins in Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, remain the dominant driver elevating WTI crude prices near $88 per barrel as of late May 2026. These supply constraints have prompted sharp inventory draws, supporting Brent averages around $106 in the EIA’s May–June outlook, though markets price in partial normalization by quarter-end. OPEC+ members recently agreed to a modest 188,000 barrel-per-day output increase starting in June to promote stability, while global demand growth forecasts for 2026 have been trimmed amid softer economic signals. Traders monitor the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and any easing of regional tensions as key swing factors that could shift the balance between ongoing supply tightness and returning barrels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$127,195Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East, including assumed closures of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins in Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, remain the dominant driver elevating WTI crude prices near $88 per barrel as of late May 2026. These supply constraints have prompted sharp inventory draws, supporting Brent averages around $106 in the EIA’s May–June outlook, though markets price in partial normalization by quarter-end. OPEC+ members recently agreed to a modest 188,000 barrel-per-day output increase starting in June to promote stability, while global demand growth forecasts for 2026 have been trimmed amid softer economic signals. Traders monitor the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and any easing of regional tensions as key swing factors that could shift the balance between ongoing supply tightness and returning barrels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Wolumen
$127,195Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East, including assumed closures of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins in Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, remain the dominant driver elevating WTI crude prices near $88 per barrel as of late May 2026. These supply constraints have prompted sharp inventory draws, supporting Brent averages around $106 in the EIA’s May–June outlook, though markets price in partial normalization by quarter-end. OPEC+ members recently agreed to a modest 188,000 barrel-per-day output increase starting in June to promote stability, while global demand growth forecasts for 2026 have been trimmed amid softer economic signals. Traders monitor the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and any easing of regional tensions as key swing factors that could shift the balance between ongoing supply tightness and returning barrels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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