Dalton Eatherly, the controversial livestreamer known as Chud the Builder, faces attempted murder and related felony charges from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, where he allegedly fired on a man during a confrontation he claims was self-defense. The market prices "No" at 60.5% primarily because the case remains in early pre-trial stages—bound over to a grand jury with no trial date set—while complex violent felony proceedings in Tennessee typically require 12–18 months or longer to reach a verdict. Eatherly’s August 2026 release on $1 million bond under strict house arrest and GPS monitoring has not accelerated the timeline. Traders weigh the July 2027 resolution cutoff against likely delays, possible plea negotiations without guilty admissions, or extended litigation, all of which favor outcomes resolving to "No." Upcoming grand jury action and any motion hearings represent the next observable catalysts.