Recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Datafolha in late March and early April position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner for Ceará's October 4 gubernatorial election, with leads of 46-55% in first-round and runoff scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), reflecting trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for Gomes amid his strong name recognition as a former governor and presidential candidate. De Freitas trails at 28%, buoyed by federal PT ties but hampered by fragmented opposition including Eduardo Girão (12.8%, Novo), Capitão Wagner (12.7%), and Roberto Cláudio (12%), while ex-governor Camilo Santana lags at 2.8% despite occasional competitive showings. Senator Tasso Jereissati's April 23 endorsement further bolsters Gomes, though a runoff remains likely without a first-round majority.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 50%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Eduardo Girão 10.8%
Roberto Cláudio 10.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
50%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
Eduardo Girão
11%
Roberto Cláudio
10%
Capitão Wagner
12%
Camilo Santana
3%
Ciro Gomes 50%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Eduardo Girão 10.8%
Roberto Cláudio 10.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$3,273 Wol.
50%
Elmano de Freitas
$545 Wol.
28%
Eduardo Girão
$388 Wol.
11%
Roberto Cláudio
$388 Wol.
10%
Capitão Wagner
$835 Wol.
12%
Camilo Santana
$260 Wol.
3%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Datafolha in late March and early April position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner for Ceará's October 4 gubernatorial election, with leads of 46-55% in first-round and runoff scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), reflecting trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for Gomes amid his strong name recognition as a former governor and presidential candidate. De Freitas trails at 28%, buoyed by federal PT ties but hampered by fragmented opposition including Eduardo Girão (12.8%, Novo), Capitão Wagner (12.7%), and Roberto Cláudio (12%), while ex-governor Camilo Santana lags at 2.8% despite occasional competitive showings. Senator Tasso Jereissati's April 23 endorsement further bolsters Gomes, though a runoff remains likely without a first-round majority.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,689Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Datafolha in late March and early April position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner for Ceará's October 4 gubernatorial election, with leads of 46-55% in first-round and runoff scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), reflecting trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for Gomes amid his strong name recognition as a former governor and presidential candidate. De Freitas trails at 28%, buoyed by federal PT ties but hampered by fragmented opposition including Eduardo Girão (12.8%, Novo), Capitão Wagner (12.7%), and Roberto Cláudio (12%), while ex-governor Camilo Santana lags at 2.8% despite occasional competitive showings. Senator Tasso Jereissati's April 23 endorsement further bolsters Gomes, though a runoff remains likely without a first-round majority.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$5,689Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Datafolha in late March and early April position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner for Ceará's October 4 gubernatorial election, with leads of 46-55% in first-round and runoff scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), reflecting trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for Gomes amid his strong name recognition as a former governor and presidential candidate. De Freitas trails at 28%, buoyed by federal PT ties but hampered by fragmented opposition including Eduardo Girão (12.8%, Novo), Capitão Wagner (12.7%), and Roberto Cláudio (12%), while ex-governor Camilo Santana lags at 2.8% despite occasional competitive showings. Senator Tasso Jereissati's April 23 endorsement further bolsters Gomes, though a runoff remains likely without a first-round majority.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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