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icon for California Prop 50 winning margin?
Polityka·Wybory 4 Listopada

California Prop 50 winning margin?

icon for California Prop 50 winning margin?
Polityka·Wybory 4 Listopada

California Prop 50 winning margin?

28–29% 100.0%

<26% <1%

26–27% <1%

27–28% <1%

Polymarket

$535,773 Wol.

28–29% 100.0%

<26% <1%

26–27% <1%

27–28% <1%

Polymarket

$535,773 Wol.

<26%

$107,427 Wol.

No

26–27%

$45,897 Wol.

No

27–28%

$89,936 Wol.

No

28–29%

$202,248 Wol.

Yes

>29%

$90,265 Wol.

No

Proposition 50 is a 2025 legislatively referred constitutional amendment on congressional redistricting, proposed for the statewide special election in California currently set for November 4, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin by which Proposition 50 is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide special election currently set for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the certified statewide vote share in favor (“pro”) minus the certified statewide vote share against (“contra”) the proposition. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Proposition 50 does not receive more pro than contra votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the State of California.

Proposition 50 is a 2025 legislatively referred constitutional amendment on congressional redistricting, proposed for the statewide special election in California currently set for November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin by which Proposition 50 is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide special election currently set for November 4, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the certified statewide vote share in favor (“pro”) minus the certified statewide vote share against (“contra”) the proposition.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If Proposition 50 does not receive more pro than contra votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the State of California.
Wolumen
$535,773
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2025
Rynek otwarty
Nov 6, 2025, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Proposition 50 is a 2025 legislatively referred constitutional amendment on congressional redistricting, proposed for the statewide special election in California currently set for November 4, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin by which Proposition 50 is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide special election currently set for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the certified statewide vote share in favor (“pro”) minus the certified statewide vote share against (“contra”) the proposition. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Proposition 50 does not receive more pro than contra votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the State of California.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

Proposition 50 is a 2025 legislatively referred constitutional amendment on congressional redistricting, proposed for the statewide special election in California currently set for November 4, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin by which Proposition 50 is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide special election currently set for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the certified statewide vote share in favor (“pro”) minus the certified statewide vote share against (“contra”) the proposition. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Proposition 50 does not receive more pro than contra votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the State of California.

Proposition 50 is a 2025 legislatively referred constitutional amendment on congressional redistricting, proposed for the statewide special election in California currently set for November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin by which Proposition 50 is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide special election currently set for November 4, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the certified statewide vote share in favor (“pro”) minus the certified statewide vote share against (“contra”) the proposition.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If Proposition 50 does not receive more pro than contra votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the State of California.
Wolumen
$535,773
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2025
Rynek otwarty
Nov 6, 2025, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Proposition 50 is a 2025 legislatively referred constitutional amendment on congressional redistricting, proposed for the statewide special election in California currently set for November 4, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin by which Proposition 50 is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide special election currently set for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the certified statewide vote share in favor (“pro”) minus the certified statewide vote share against (“contra”) the proposition. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Proposition 50 does not receive more pro than contra votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the State of California.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

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Często zadawane pytania

"California Prop 50 winning margin?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "28–29%" z 100%, za nim "<26%" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "California Prop 50 winning margin?" wygenerował $535.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 6, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "California Prop 50 winning margin?", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "California Prop 50 winning margin?" jest "28–29%" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "<26%" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "California Prop 50 winning margin?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.