California's 45th congressional district held its nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, under the state's top-two system where the leading two candidates advance regardless of party. Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding position with roughly half the reported vote, reflecting strong support in a district with significant Asian-American voters and competitive recent history. Republican contenders including Chuong Vo and Chi Charlie Nguyen trail and split the remaining vote, determining which one joins Tran in November. Ballots postmarked by Election Day continue arriving, and partial results show Tran well ahead while the second slot remains fluid. This structure and vote distribution shape trader assessments of advancement outcomes ahead of full certification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-45 Primary Winners
CA-45 Primary Winners
$11,638 Wol.
Jun 2, 2026
Derek Tran
99%
Tom Vo
15%
Amy Phan West
5%
Chi Charlie Nguyen
10%
Mark Leonard
2%
Chuong Vo
59%
$11,638 Wol.
Derek Tran
$4,097 Wol.
99%
Tom Vo
$2,238 Wol.
15%
Amy Phan West
$841 Wol.
5%
Chi Charlie Nguyen
$2,383 Wol.
10%
Mark Leonard
$1,123 Wol.
2%
Chuong Vo
$957 Wol.
59%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 45th congressional district held its nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, under the state's top-two system where the leading two candidates advance regardless of party. Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding position with roughly half the reported vote, reflecting strong support in a district with significant Asian-American voters and competitive recent history. Republican contenders including Chuong Vo and Chi Charlie Nguyen trail and split the remaining vote, determining which one joins Tran in November. Ballots postmarked by Election Day continue arriving, and partial results show Tran well ahead while the second slot remains fluid. This structure and vote distribution shape trader assessments of advancement outcomes ahead of full certification.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,638Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 45th congressional district held its nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, under the state's top-two system where the leading two candidates advance regardless of party. Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding position with roughly half the reported vote, reflecting strong support in a district with significant Asian-American voters and competitive recent history. Republican contenders including Chuong Vo and Chi Charlie Nguyen trail and split the remaining vote, determining which one joins Tran in November. Ballots postmarked by Election Day continue arriving, and partial results show Tran well ahead while the second slot remains fluid. This structure and vote distribution shape trader assessments of advancement outcomes ahead of full certification.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$11,638Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 45th congressional district held its nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, under the state's top-two system where the leading two candidates advance regardless of party. Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding position with roughly half the reported vote, reflecting strong support in a district with significant Asian-American voters and competitive recent history. Republican contenders including Chuong Vo and Chi Charlie Nguyen trail and split the remaining vote, determining which one joins Tran in November. Ballots postmarked by Election Day continue arriving, and partial results show Tran well ahead while the second slot remains fluid. This structure and vote distribution shape trader assessments of advancement outcomes ahead of full certification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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