Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei will not face arrest by the June 30, 2026, resolution, driven by the complete absence of any credible federal investigations, indictments, or charges from agencies like the DOJ or FBI. Recent developments center on Anthropic's civil dispute with the Pentagon over a March 2026 "supply chain risk" designation, which the company challenged in court; this feud appears to be thawing following Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and others to discuss the firm's new Mythos AI model. No personal legal jeopardy has emerged, though unforeseen scenarios like sudden antitrust probes or unrelated criminal allegations could theoretically shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$151,395 Wol.
$151,395 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
$151,395 Wol.
$151,395 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei will not face arrest by the June 30, 2026, resolution, driven by the complete absence of any credible federal investigations, indictments, or charges from agencies like the DOJ or FBI. Recent developments center on Anthropic's civil dispute with the Pentagon over a March 2026 "supply chain risk" designation, which the company challenged in court; this feud appears to be thawing following Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and others to discuss the firm's new Mythos AI model. No personal legal jeopardy has emerged, though unforeseen scenarios like sudden antitrust probes or unrelated criminal allegations could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$151,395Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei will not face arrest by the June 30, 2026, resolution, driven by the complete absence of any credible federal investigations, indictments, or charges from agencies like the DOJ or FBI. Recent developments center on Anthropic's civil dispute with the Pentagon over a March 2026 "supply chain risk" designation, which the company challenged in court; this feud appears to be thawing following Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and others to discuss the firm's new Mythos AI model. No personal legal jeopardy has emerged, though unforeseen scenarios like sudden antitrust probes or unrelated criminal allegations could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$151,395Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei will not face arrest by the June 30, 2026, resolution, driven by the complete absence of any credible federal investigations, indictments, or charges from agencies like the DOJ or FBI. Recent developments center on Anthropic's civil dispute with the Pentagon over a March 2026 "supply chain risk" designation, which the company challenged in court; this feud appears to be thawing following Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and others to discuss the firm's new Mythos AI model. No personal legal jeopardy has emerged, though unforeseen scenarios like sudden antitrust probes or unrelated criminal allegations could theoretically shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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