No at 79% reflects the absence of any catalogued near-Earth objects on trajectories capable of delivering a 5 kt or greater airburst in the remaining months of 2026, per NASA CNEOS and ESA monitoring. Recent close approaches involve only meter-scale bodies that produce far smaller energies if they enter the atmosphere, consistent with the 13 small predicted impactors recorded so far this year. Historical bolide records indicate 5 kt-scale events occur irregularly, roughly once every several years on average, placing the annual base rate well below 30%. Continuous Sentry and Scout surveys plus fireball databases show no upward revision in risk, supporting the market's current consensus amid limited time remaining before resolution.