Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

46%

Kevin Warsh

$240m Omsetn.

$11m today

$7m Liq.

611

Ends in 11 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

14%

$10m Omsetn.

$260k today

$724k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

58%

<$100b

$3m Omsetn.

$84.2k today

$127k Liq.

310

Ends in about 1 month

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

16%

December 31

$13m Omsetn.

$67.0k today

$130k Liq.

1,191

Ends in 2 months

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

$4m Omsetn.

$50.4k today

$34.3k Liq.

290

Ends in 11 months

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

30%

Pam Bondi

$1m Omsetn.

$130k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

52%

June 30

$2m Omsetn.

$22.4k Liq.

244

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

28%

June 30

$1m Omsetn.

$25.4k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will Trump visit China by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

73%

April 30, 2026

$960k Omsetn.

$22.0k Liq.

32

Ends in 3 months

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

1%

$1m Omsetn.

$21.7k Liq.

40

Ends in about 1 month

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

59%

No meeting by June 30

$498k Omsetn.

$42.6k Liq.

12

Ends in 5 months

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

89%

250-500k

$5m Omsetn.

$72.2k Liq.

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

1%

$133k Omsetn.

$8.0k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

15%

$351k Omsetn.

$35.3k Liq.

22

Ends in 11 months

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

24%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$7.0k Omsetn.

$95.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

7%

June 30, 2026

$2m Omsetn.

$9.0k Liq.

116

US x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$530k Omsetn.

$24.5k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Trump Presidency

Trump

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

77%

Donald Trump

$68.9k Omsetn.

$69.3k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

2%

$411k Omsetn.

$2.2k Liq.

24

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

1%

$159k Omsetn.

$5.9k Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month