Science predictions & odds

·
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑500

$3m Omsetn.

$1m today

$19.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

10%

$1m Omsetn.

$82.7k today

$248k Liq.

88

Ends in 11 months

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

100%

175

$158k Omsetn.

$57.2k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Science

SpaceX

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

7%

$396k Omsetn.

$74.4k Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

36%

5-6

$44.7k Omsetn.

$4.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

Science

Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

69%

0

$114k Omsetn.

$16.2k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

45%

4

$1m Omsetn.

$52.5k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

Science

Weather

How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

27%

6-8

$9.6k Omsetn.

$28.7k Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

47%

1.10–1.14ºC

$391k Omsetn.

$38.5k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

89%

March 31

$95.1k Omsetn.

$8.9k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$33.0k Omsetn.

$25.6k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

98%

4th or lower

$313k Omsetn.

$50.1k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

Science

Weather

How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

41%

15+

$4.4k Omsetn.

$16.7k Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

90%

<30

$485k Omsetn.

$15.4k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

39%

11–13

$350k Omsetn.

$28.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX launches in January?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in January?

89%

12 or more

$61.9k Omsetn.

$11.0k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

64%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$544k Omsetn.

$7.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 9 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

64%

8+

$791k Omsetn.

$28.9k Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Precipitation in Seattle in January?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in January?

41%

<3"

$10.2k Omsetn.

$5.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

51%

$136k Omsetn.

$14.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months