Zal Israël Gaza aanvallen op...?
$1,562,650 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
17 januari
$68,255 Vol.
<1%
17 januari
$68,255 Vol.
<1%
18 januari
$19,043 Vol.
1%
18 januari
$19,043 Vol.
1%
19 januari
$21,949 Vol.
3%
19 januari
$21,949 Vol.
3%
20 januari
$2,169 Vol.
27%
20 januari
$2,169 Vol.
27%
21 januari
$821 Vol.
33%
21 januari
$821 Vol.
33%
22 januari
$709 Vol.
40%
22 januari
$709 Vol.
40%
23 januari
$1,323 Vol.
39%
23 januari
$1,323 Vol.
39%
24 januari
$1,127 Vol.
36%
24 januari
$1,127 Vol.
36%
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Gemaakt op: Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET
Volume
$1,562,650Einddatum
Jan 31, 2026Gemaakt op
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zal Israël Gaza aanvallen op...?
$1,562,650 Vol.
17 januari
$68,255 Vol.
<1%
18 januari
$19,043 Vol.
1%
19 januari
$21,949 Vol.
3%
20 januari
$2,169 Vol.
27%
21 januari
$821 Vol.
33%
22 januari
$709 Vol.
40%
23 januari
$1,323 Vol.
39%
24 januari
$1,127 Vol.
36%
Over
Volume
$1,562,650Einddatum
Jan 31, 2026Gemaakt op
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ETResolver
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