Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

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Will Israel raid another ship of the Gaza flotilla by...?

YoutubeVideo LogoEnded

$15,736 Vol.

Oct 15, 2025

Regels

The Freedom Flotilla Coalition, which organized the first Global Sumud Flotilla intercepted by Israel, has now launched a second wave of ships under the Conscience / Thousand Madleens initiative with the same goal of breaking the Gaza blockade. Vessel movements can be tracked here: https://freedomflotilla.org/ffc-tmtg-conscience-tracker/.

This market will resolve "Yes" if Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board another vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers, by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$15,736
Einddatum
Oct 15, 2025
Gemaakt op
Oct 7, 2025, 6:23 PM ET

Resultaat voorgesteld: Yes

Geen bezwaar

Definitief resultaat: Yes

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Pas op voor externe links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Israel raid another ship of the Gaza flotilla by...?

YoutubeVideo LogoEnded

$15,736 Vol.

Market icon

October 10

$6,414 Vol.

Yes

circle check
Market icon

$9,321 Vol.

Yes

circle check

Over

Volume
$15,736
Einddatum
Oct 15, 2025
Gemaakt op
Oct 7, 2025, 6:23 PM ET
shield

Pas op voor externe links.