Name: Michigan Margin of Victory
Start: 2024-10-08T16:41:00.289718Z
End: 2024-11-05T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting the margin of victory for the Michigan football team in their next game.

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 4.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Trump by 4.0%+

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 3.0% (inclusive) and 4.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Trump by 3.0-4.0%

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 2.0% (inclusive) and 3.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Trump by 2.0-3.0%

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 1.0% (inclusive) and 2.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Trump by 1.0-2.0%

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 0% (inclusive) and 1.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Trump by 0-1.0%

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Democratic Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 0% (exclusive) and 1.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Democratic Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Harris by 0-1.0%

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Democratic Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 1.0% (inclusive) and 2.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Democratic Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Harris by 1.0-2.0%

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Democratic Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 2.0% (inclusive) and 3.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Democratic Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Harris by 2.0-3.0%

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Democratic Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 3.0% (inclusive) and 4.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Democratic Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Harris by 3.0-4.0%

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Democratic Party candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by  4.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Democratic Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Michigan for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Michigan has certified the vote. 

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Harris by 4%+

Michigan Margin of Victory

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Zullen de Democraten de gouverneursverkiezing in Michigan in 2026 winnen?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Zal Mallory McMorrow de Democratische voorverkiezing van Michigan in 2026 winnen?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Zullen de Democraten de Senaatsrace in Michigan in 2026 winnen?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Zal Jocelyn Benson de Democratische voorverkiezing voor gouverneur van Michigan in 2026 winnen?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Zal Mike Rogers de Republikeinse voorverkiezing voor de Amerikaanse Senaat in Michigan winnen?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Zal John James de Republikeinse voorverkiezing voor gouverneur van Michigan in 2026 winnen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New England Patriots win the 2025-26 AFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the AFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Zullen de Patriots het AFC-kampioenschap winnen?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Zal de Republikeinse Partij het Huiszetel MI-04 winnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 10 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big 10's official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigten.org or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Zal Michigan het Big 10 regular season kampioenschap herenbasketbal 2025-2026 winnen?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Zal Mike Bouchard de Republikeinse genomineerde zijn voor MI-10?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Seattle Seahawks win the 2025-26 NFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the NFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Zal de Seahawks het NFC-kampioenschap van 2026 winnen?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Zal Jeremy Moss de Democratische kandidaat zijn voor MI-11?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Zal de Democratische Partij het Huiszetel MI-03 winnen?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Zal de Democratische Partij het MI-08 Huis zetel winnen?

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Zal het team dat de Super Bowl van 2025-26 wint uit een andere staat komen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.


Zal de Colorado Avalanche in 2026 de NHL Stanley Cup winnen?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Zal de Democratische Partij het MI-10 Huiszetel winnen?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Michigan Margin of Victory

Trump by 4.0%+
$164,985 Vol.
No

Trump by 3.0-4.0%
$48,488 Vol.
No

Trump by 2.0-3.0%
$29,470 Vol.
No

Trump by 1.0-2.0%
$46,205 Vol.
Yes

Trump by 0-1.0%
$40,597 Vol.
No

Harris by 0-1.0%
$32,950 Vol.
No

Harris by 1.0-2.0%
$22,805 Vol.
No

Harris by 2.0-3.0%
$27,604 Vol.
No

Harris by 3.0-4.0%
$26,654 Vol.
No

Harris by 4%+
$95,635 Vol.
No

Marktcontext

Michigan Margin of Victory

Regels

Michigan Margin of Victory

Marktcontext

Michigan Margin of Victory

Over

Michigan Margin of Victory

Trump by 4.0%+$164,985 Vol.No

Trump by 3.0-4.0%$48,488 Vol.No

Trump by 2.0-3.0%$29,470 Vol.No

Trump by 1.0-2.0%$46,205 Vol.Yes

Trump by 0-1.0%$40,597 Vol.No

Harris by 0-1.0%$32,950 Vol.No

Harris by 1.0-2.0%$22,805 Vol.No

Harris by 2.0-3.0%$27,604 Vol.No

Harris by 3.0-4.0%$26,654 Vol.No

Harris by 4%+$95,635 Vol.No

Marktcontext

Michigan Margin of Victory

Regels

Michigan Margin of Victory

Marktcontext

Michigan Margin of Victory

Over

Trump by 4.0%+
$164,985 Vol.
No

Trump by 3.0-4.0%
$48,488 Vol.
No

Trump by 2.0-3.0%
$29,470 Vol.
No

Trump by 1.0-2.0%
$46,205 Vol.
Yes

Trump by 0-1.0%
$40,597 Vol.
No

Harris by 0-1.0%
$32,950 Vol.
No

Harris by 1.0-2.0%
$22,805 Vol.
No

Harris by 2.0-3.0%
$27,604 Vol.
No

Harris by 3.0-4.0%
$26,654 Vol.
No

Harris by 4%+
$95,635 Vol.
No