Name: Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction
Start: 2025-11-17T23:59:51.989088Z
End: 2025-11-18T00:00:00Z

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This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if [ARTWORK TITLE] (Lot [LOT NUMBER]) sells for [STRIKE PRICE] USD or more. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots. 
.

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trois personnages by Pablo Picasso (Lot 3) sells for USD 700,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if La Serpentine by Henri Matisse (Lot 5) sells for USD 10,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 5 Matisse – 10m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Figure décorative by Henri Matisse (Lot 7) sells for USD 15,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blumenwiese (Blooming Meadow) by Gustav Klimt (Lot 11) sells for USD 75,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen by Ernst Ludwig Kirchner (Lot 13) sells for USD 3,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Untitled #4 by Agnes Martin (Lot 17) sells for USD 2,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 17 Martin – 2m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Le Semeur dans un champ de blé au soleil couchant by Vincent van Gogh (Lot 4) sells for USD 9,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 4 Van Gogh – 9m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sankthansnatt (Midsummer Night) by Edvard Munch (Lot 6) sells for USD 25,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 6 Munch – 25m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bildnis Elisabeth Lederer (Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer) by Gustav Klimt (Lot 8) sells for USD 150,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 8 Klimt – 150m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Waldabhang bei Unterach am Attersee (Forest Slope in Unterach on the Attersee) by Gustav Klimt (Lot 14) sells for USD 75,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Garden by Agnes Martin (Lot 12) sells for USD 13,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 12 Martin – 13m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nu couché I (Aurore) by Henri Matisse (Lot 15) sells for USD 9,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 15 Matisse – 9m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Untitled by Robert Rauschenberg (Lot 19) sells for USD 2,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 19 Rauschenberg – 2m+

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for the Shields Family Collection Honus Wagner card is greater than $2 million. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If no sale is completed by March 31, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No".

The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1909-11-t206-white-border-honus-wagner-sweet-caporal-150-25-shields-fadn3v4).

Honus Wagner-kaart verkocht voor >$2 miljoen?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Google currently scheduled to take place on February 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Google say "Gemini 3" during earnings call?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of PayPal currently scheduled to take place on February 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will PayPal say "E-Commerce" during earnings call?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of EA currently scheduled to take place on February 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal Loopscale vóór 31 december 2026 een token lanceren?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the Milady floor price reaches 2ETH or higher at any point between December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be NftPriceFloor, specifically the "Milady price chart" available at https://nftpricefloor.com/milady, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart.

Only data from NFTPriceFloor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.

Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if StandX officially launches a token by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Zal StandX vóór 31 maart een token lanceren?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for for Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve "No".   

If no sale is competed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No".

The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (See:https://goldin.co/item/logan-paul-personally-owned-1998-pokemon-japanese-corocoro-promo-raretua0w).

Zal de verkoopprijs van Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator hoger zijn dan $4 miljoen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Zal Abstract een token lanceren vóór 31 december 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal Arc een token lanceren vóór 31 december 2026?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Netflix currently scheduled to take place on January 20, 2026 at 4:45 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Netflix say "Stranger Things" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal Theo een token lanceren vóór 31 december 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if USD.AI officially launches a governance token by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from USD.AI (https://x.com/USDai_Official), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal USD.AI vóór 31 maart een token lanceren?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal Nansen vóór 31 december 2026 een token lanceren?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daylight (https://x.com/daylight) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Daylight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal Daylight een token lanceren vóór 31 december 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Main Street Sports will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with any other company or private individual(s) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Main Street Sports or the other company involved will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in Main Street Sports. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Main Street Sports and the acquiring company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Main Street Sports-uitverkoop/-fusie vóór 31 januari?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Zal Ostium een token lanceren vóór 31 december 2026?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of United Airlines currently scheduled to take place on January 21, 2026 at 10:30 AM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will United Airlines say "On-Time" or "On Time" during earnings call?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of GE Vernova currently scheduled to take place on January 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will GE Vernova say "Tariff" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 25)

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Johnson & Johnson currently scheduled to take place on January 21, 2026 at 8:30 AM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Johnson & Johnson say "Rybrevant" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal Extended een token lanceren vóór 31 december 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Glencore (GLEN.L) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Rio Tinto (RIO.L) , or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Glencore or Rio Tinto will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Glencore or Rio Tinto; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Wordt de verkoop/fusie tussen Glencore en Rio Tinto aangekondigd voor 30 juni?

Donald Trump is expected to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address in late January or early February. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Nebius currently forecasted to take place on February 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Nebius say "Nvidia" during earnings call?

The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is moved by ten seconds or more in either direction (i.e. closer than 80 seconds to midnight, or farther than 98 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2025 release is published. If no release is published by June 30, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

Zal de Doomsday Clock met tien seconden of meer verschuiven?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spark officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Spark (https://x.com/spark), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal Spark vóór 31 december 2026 een token lanceren

The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is set closer to midnight (i.e. closer than 89 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2026 release is published. If no release is published by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

Zal de Doomsday Clock dichter bij middernacht komen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal Ubisoft worden overgenomen vóór 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Jerome Too Late Powell" in January?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Coinbase currently projected to take place on February 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Coinbase say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zal Oro een token lanceren vóór 31 december 2026?

Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:

- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.

If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e. SpaceX IPOs through a typical listing of their shares on a public stock exchange), this market will resolve immediately to “No”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

SpaceX gaat naar de beurs via het 'SPAR'-bedrijf van Bill Ackman?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics fails to release any monthly report on the Consumer Price Index by 11:59PM ET on the scheduled release date between December 1, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If an announcement is made by the White House or the BLS that the monthly CPI release will be delayed or cancelled altogether, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the BLS or a consensus of credible reporting. 

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+
$6,782 Vol.
Yes

Lot 4 Van Gogh – 9m+
$1,257 Vol.
Yes

Lot 5 Matisse – 10m+
$1,398 Vol.
Yes

Lot 6 Munch – 25m+
$791 Vol.
Yes

Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+
$778,579 Vol.
No

Lot 8 Klimt – 150m+
$6,292 Vol.
Yes

Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+
$6,769 Vol.
Yes

Lot 12 Martin – 13m+
$6,391 Vol.
Yes

Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+
$611,661 Vol.
No

Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+
$11,624 Vol.
No

Lot 15 Matisse – 9m+
$1,120 Vol.
Yes

Lot 17 Martin – 2m+
$1,133 Vol.
Yes

Lot 19 Rauschenberg – 2m+
$2,699 Vol.
Yes

Marktcontext

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Regels

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Marktcontext

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Over

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+$6,782 Vol.Yes

Lot 4 Van Gogh – 9m+$1,257 Vol.Yes

Lot 5 Matisse – 10m+$1,398 Vol.Yes

Lot 6 Munch – 25m+$791 Vol.Yes

Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+$778,579 Vol.No

Lot 8 Klimt – 150m+$6,292 Vol.Yes

Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+$6,769 Vol.Yes

Lot 12 Martin – 13m+$6,391 Vol.Yes

Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+$611,661 Vol.No

Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+$11,624 Vol.No

Lot 15 Matisse – 9m+$1,120 Vol.Yes

Lot 17 Martin – 2m+$1,133 Vol.Yes

Lot 19 Rauschenberg – 2m+$2,699 Vol.Yes

Marktcontext

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Regels

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Marktcontext

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Over

Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+
$6,782 Vol.
Yes

Lot 4 Van Gogh – 9m+
$1,257 Vol.
Yes

Lot 5 Matisse – 10m+
$1,398 Vol.
Yes

Lot 6 Munch – 25m+
$791 Vol.
Yes

Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+
$778,579 Vol.
No

Lot 8 Klimt – 150m+
$6,292 Vol.
Yes

Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+
$6,769 Vol.
Yes

Lot 12 Martin – 13m+
$6,391 Vol.
Yes

Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+
$611,661 Vol.
No

Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+
$11,624 Vol.
No

Lot 15 Matisse – 9m+
$1,120 Vol.
Yes

Lot 17 Martin – 2m+
$1,133 Vol.
Yes

Lot 19 Rauschenberg – 2m+
$2,699 Vol.
Yes