Name: How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Start: 2024-12-04T21:35:43.559024Z
End: 2025-02-28T12:00:00Z

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This is a negrisk market group over how many men Lily Phillips will have sex with in one day.

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with between 500 (inclusive) and 749 (inclusive) men at this event by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

500-749

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with between 1 (inclusive) and 249 (inclusive) men at this event by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

1-249

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the event where Lily Phillips is supposed to have sex with 1000 men in a single 24 hour period is cancelled, or is rescheduled for a date after or otherwise doesn't happen by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event occurs but the number of men Lily Phillips had sex with is not announced, this market will resolve to "Yes".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

Doesn't Happen

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with between 250 (inclusive) and 499 (inclusive) men at this event by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

250-499

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with between 750 (inclusive) and 999 (inclusive) men in a single 24 hour period by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

750-999

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with 1000 or more men in a single 24 hour period by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

1000 or more

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sex tape featuring  Nick Fuentes, is made public between December 6, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying "sex tapes" must be video footage involving sexual acts directly depicting the genitals of any individual(s) shown. The video must be authentic, not animated or AI-altered.

The primary resolution source will be publicly released video, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Nick Fuentes sekstape vrijgegeven vóór 31 maart?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alix Earle and Tom Brady are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Confirmation must come directly from Alix Earle or Tom Brady or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.

Bevestigen Alix Earle en Tom Brady hun relatie vóór 30 juni?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Zijn Kylie Jenner en Timothée Chalamet verloofd in 2026?

The CDC reported a general fertility rate of 53.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q2 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm). 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q3 2025 exceeds 53.7, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q3 2025 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q3 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions.

The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.

Amerikaanse vruchtbaarheidscijfer gestegen in kwartaal 3 van 2025?

On Dec 12, Hailee Steinfeld revealed she was pregnant (see: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/47289078/buffalo-bills-josh-allen-hailee-steinfeld-pregnant).

This market will resolve to "Boy" if Josh Allen, Hailee Steinfeld, or one of their official representatives announces that they are having a boy.

This market will resolve to "Girl" if Josh Allen, Hailee Steinfeld, or one of their official representatives announces that they are having a girl.

If the biological sex of Hailee Steinfeld's child remains undisclosed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".

If Steinfeld gives birth to more than one child from this pregnancy, this market will resolve based on the biological sex of the children. If all children are of the same biological sex, the market will resolve as "Boy" if all are male, or "Girl" if all are female. If the children are of different sexes, the market will resolve to "50-50".

This market refers only to the current pregnancy. Any future pregnancies will not be considered for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Josh Allen and Hailee Steinfeld however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Jongen of Meisje?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.

A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.

The following will not qualify:

- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.

- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.

- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.

Epstein-klantenlijst vrijgegeven voor 30 juni?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Confirmation must come directly from Jacob Elordi or Olivia Jade or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.

Bevestigden Jacob Elordi en Olivia Jade hun relatie vóór 30 juni?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.

Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.

Nog een Elon-baby vóór 30 juni?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025-26 EPL season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". 

Goals scored in Premier League matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., FA Cup, Carabao Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. 

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Zal Erling Haaland de topscorer worden in het seizoen 2025–26 van de Engelse Premier League?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya announces that she is pregnant between market creation, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Zendaya or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

1000 or more
$485,157 Vol.
No

750-999
$314,153 Vol.
No

500-749
$125,387 Vol.
No

250-499
$217,159 Vol.
No

1-249
$244,927 Vol.
No

Doesn't Happen
$390,963 Vol.
Yes

Marktcontext

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Regels

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Marktcontext

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Over

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

1000 or more$485,157 Vol.No

750-999$314,153 Vol.No

500-749$125,387 Vol.No

250-499$217,159 Vol.No

1-249$244,927 Vol.No

Doesn't Happen$390,963 Vol.Yes

Marktcontext

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Regels

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Marktcontext

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Over

1000 or more
$485,157 Vol.
No

750-999
$314,153 Vol.
No

500-749
$125,387 Vol.
No

250-499
$217,159 Vol.
No

1-249
$244,927 Vol.
No

Doesn't Happen
$390,963 Vol.
Yes