Climate predictions & odds

·
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Climate

Weather

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

24%

14.2-14.4m sq km

$1.8k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate

Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

49%

$86.0k Vol.

$16.1k Liq.

5

Ends in 11 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate

Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

8%

$13.9k Vol.

$21.2k Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 year

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate

Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

36%

$214k Vol.

$3.9k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate

Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

8%

$2.0k Vol.

$6.0k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Climate

Weather

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

23%

4.0-4.2m sq km

$553 Vol.

$3.9k Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Climate

Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

44%

$141k Vol.

$4.1k Liq.

Ends in 4 months