Name: Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?
Start: 2025-12-17T22:35:23.178772Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00Z

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The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.

An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. 

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).

Vertiv Holdings (VRT)

Pure Storage (PSTG)

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)

Ciena (CIEN)

Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)

Affirm Holdings (AFRM)

Syarikat ditambah ke S&P 500

Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.

If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.

Adakah Bitcoin akan mengatasi prestasi Emas pada tahun 2026?

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the first quarter of 2026 (January 1 - March 31). 

The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the specified quarter will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) for the final trading day of the quarter to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) for the final trading day of the previous quarter, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The closing price for the final trading day of the previous quarter will be subtracted from the closing price for the final trading day of the specified quarter, and then that difference will be divided by the closing price for the final trading day of the previous quarter.

Percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a percentage change of 4.995% would be considered 5.00%, and a percentage change of 4.993% would be considered 4.99%)

If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price.

If the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the first quarter of 2026 falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).

Adakah perubahan peratusan dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026 akan kurang daripada 0%?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms.

Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage gain of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage gain of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%)

If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).

Adakah Indeks S&P 500 akan meningkat sekurang-kurangnya 2% pada mana-mana hari dalam S1?

This market will resolve to “Silver” if Silver hits 100 before Bitcoin hits 100k by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Bitcoin” if Bitcoin hits 100k before Silver hits 100 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Silver will be considered to hit 100 if any Yahoo Finance 1-minute candle for the front month for Comex Silver futures (SI=F) has a final "High" price equal to or above 100. 

The front month for Comex Silver futures at a given time will be the specific Silver futures contract shown on Yahoo Finance at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SI=F/ at that time. If the silver futures contract shown on Yahoo Finance at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SI=F/ changes during this market's timeframe, this market will treat the updated contract as the new front month. Prices/quotes for other Silver Futures contracts will not be considered.

The resolution source for Silver will be Yahoo Finance, specifically, the Comex Silver futures "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SI=F/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

Bitcoin will be considered to hit 100k if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than 100,000.

The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

If Silver first hits 100 and Bitcoin first hits 100k in candles for the same exact minute, or If Silver has not hit 100 and Bitcoin has not hit 100k by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair and from Yahoo Finance Silver futures front month quotes. Prices from other data aggregators, other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Adakah Perak akan mencecah 100 atau Bitcoin mencecah 100k terlebih dahulu?

If the Nancy Pelosi Index performs better than the S&P 500 Index in January 2026, this market will resolve to “Pelosi”. If the S&P 500 Index performs better than the Nancy Pelosi Index in January 2026, this market will resolve to “S&P”. 

The performance of each index will be the 1-month trailing percentage return of the index for the final trading day of the specified month.

The resolution source for the Nancy Pelosi Index (“Pelosi”) is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096

Information from the "Performance" table for the Nancy Pelosi Index, specifically the 1-month trailing percentage return figures found under "1M", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified month.

If the Nancy Pelosi Index’s 1-month trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified month is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next month is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-month trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified month.

The resolution source for S&P 500 ("S&P") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

Information from the "Historical Prices" table for the S&P 500 will be used to resolve this market. The S&P 500’s 1-month trailing percentage return will be calculated as the percentage change between the S&P 500’s closing price on the final trading day of the specified month and its closing price on the same calendar day of the previous month. If the relevant day in the previous month was not a trading day, the most recent trading day before this day will be used. If the same calendar day does not exist in the previous month, the return will be calculated using the final trading day of the previous month. Note that all relevant figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If either of the relevant days lack a specified closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price for that day.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price or 1-month return figure published for each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If both indices perform exactly the same over this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50.

Updates to historical prices or figures displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

Pelosi vs. S&P - Januari

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5, 2025 at 10:30 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.

If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Akankah Bitcoin mencapai $80k atau $150k terlebih dahulu?

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between January 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.

If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Adakah Bitcoin akan mencecah $80k atau $100k dahulu?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any single daily BTC/USDT candle between January 13 and December 31, 2026 has a range equal to or greater than 15%. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

The “Range” value shown for the daily candle will be used. Daily candles are defined based on the ET (Eastern Time) timezone.

Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered.

Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?

Vertiv Holdings (VRT)
$12,711 Vol.
69%

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
$47,100 Vol.
47%

Ciena (CIEN)
$16,553 Vol.
34%

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
$2,510 Vol.
24%

Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
$4,533 Vol.
21%

Pure Storage (PSTG)
$1,561 Vol.
14%

Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)
$40,451 Vol.
7%

Konteks Pasaran

Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?

Peraturan

Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?

Konteks Pasaran

Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?

Mengenai

Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?

Vertiv Holdings (VRT)$12,711 Vol.69%Beli Ya72¢Beli Tidak34¢

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)$47,100 Vol.47%Beli Ya49¢Beli Tidak55¢

Ciena (CIEN)$16,553 Vol.34%Beli Ya35¢Beli Tidak68¢

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)$2,510 Vol.24%Beli Ya25¢Beli Tidak78¢

Affirm Holdings (AFRM)$4,533 Vol.21%Beli Ya25¢Beli Tidak84¢

Pure Storage (PSTG)$1,561 Vol.14%Beli Ya18¢Beli Tidak89¢

Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)$40,451 Vol.7%Beli Ya7.5¢Beli Tidak93.5¢

Konteks Pasaran

Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?

Peraturan

Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?

Konteks Pasaran

Syarikat mana yang ditambah ke dalam S&P 500 pada S1 2026?

Mengenai

Vertiv Holdings (VRT)
$12,711 Vol.
69%

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
$47,100 Vol.
47%

Ciena (CIEN)
$16,553 Vol.
34%

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
$2,510 Vol.
24%

Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
$4,533 Vol.
21%

Pure Storage (PSTG)
$1,561 Vol.
14%

Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)
$40,451 Vol.
7%