Name: Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?
Start: 2025-12-26T23:14:20.181667Z
End: 2026-01-30T21:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

$480

$490

$500

$510

$520

$530

$540

$550

$430

$440

$450

$460

$470

Tesla Pelbagai Serangan Bulanan

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of November 2025 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of November?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of December 2025 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada hujung Disember?

As of market creation, Tesla is estimated to release earnings on January 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tesla’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Tesla releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan mengatasi pendapatan suku tahunan?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.

To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.

The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.

Adakah Tesla akan melancarkan Optimus sebelum 30 Jun 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Adakah SpaceX akan mempunyai 200 atau lebih pelancaran pada tahun 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one coin launched in 2026 appears in the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on CoinGecko at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

Rankings will be determined using CoinGecko’s market capitalization rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/).

Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

Adakah syiling yang dilancarkan pada tahun 2026 akan berakhir dalam 50 teratas pada akhir tahun?

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Adakah SpaceX akan mempunyai 12 atau lebih pelancaran pada bulan Januari?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Zcash (ZEC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ZEC/USDT “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ZEC_USDT
with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ZEC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Adakah Zcash akan turun ke $300 menjelang 31 Disember 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XPL (XPL/USDT) between November 25, 2025, 16:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XPL/USDT “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XPL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Akan jatuh ke $0.08 menjelang 31 Disember 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Uniswap (UNI/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the UNI/USDT “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/UNI_USDT
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Only the Binance UNI/USDT price feed will be used.
Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Adakah UNI akan turun ke $3.00 menjelang 31 Disember 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.

Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.

The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.

Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Adakah Tesla akan membuka tempahan untuk Robovan sebelum tahun 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla publicly releases an unsupervised Full Self-Driving capability that satisfies all of the following criteria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

1. Tesla (or Elon Musk) must label the feature “Full Self-Driving” or use an equivalent name indicating no requirement for human intervention.

2. The system must operate on public roads without a human driver present or required to oversee its performance. In practice, this means either:
- The vehicle runs with no one in the driver’s seat, or
- The vehicle operates in a mode where no occupant is expected to monitor or intervene.

3. Tesla or any Tesla-affiliated entity must make the unsupervised Full Self-Driving capability broadly accessible either through a robo-taxi or ride-hailing service open to the public, or inclusion as a standard or optional feature on newly sold Tesla vehicles, or a software update that enables unsupervised operation in current vehicles.

Any mode that requires a licensed driver to be seated in the vehicle, or for a human (on-site or remote) to continuously supervise the driving performance or remain ready to intervene at any moment, will not qualify. However, remote monitoring that does not involve continuous supervision or expectation of real-time intervention—for example, oversight limited to emergency response—will not disqualify the service.

This market’s resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Tesla melancarkan pemanduan kendiri sepenuhnya tanpa pengawasan (FSD) menjelang 30 Jun?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Aster (ASTER/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ASTER/USDT “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ASTER_USDT
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ASTER/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?

$430
$50,510 Vol.
60%

$440
$23,469 Vol.
47%

$450
$31,068 Vol.
41%

$460
$10,787 Vol.
27%

$470
$29,333 Vol.
21%

$480
$20,561 Vol.
12%

$490
$4,456 Vol.
7%

$500
$5,118 Vol.
5%

$510
$3,349 Vol.
4%

$520
$3,497 Vol.
1%

$530
$3,660 Vol.
2%

$540
$1,518 Vol.
1%

$550
$2,513 Vol.
1%

Konteks Pasaran

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?

Peraturan

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?

Konteks Pasaran

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?

Mengenai

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?

$430$50,510 Vol.60%Beli Ya61¢Beli Tidak42¢

$440$23,469 Vol.47%Beli Ya50¢Beli Tidak57¢

$450$31,068 Vol.41%Beli Ya43¢Beli Tidak61¢

$460$10,787 Vol.27%Beli Ya32¢Beli Tidak78¢

$470$29,333 Vol.21%Beli Ya23¢Beli Tidak81¢

$480$20,561 Vol.12%Beli Ya13¢Beli Tidak90¢

$490$4,456 Vol.7%Beli Ya10¢Beli Tidak96¢

$500$5,118 Vol.5%Beli Ya6.4¢Beli Tidak97.4¢

$510$3,349 Vol.4%Beli Ya5.8¢Beli Tidak97.9¢

$520$3,497 Vol.1%Beli Ya1.2¢Beli Tidak99.8¢

$530$3,660 Vol.2%Beli Ya3.8¢Beli Tidak98.9¢

$540$1,518 Vol.1%Beli Ya2.0¢Beli Tidak99.5¢

$550$2,513 Vol.1%Beli Ya0.6¢Beli Tidak99.6¢

Konteks Pasaran

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?

Peraturan

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?

Konteks Pasaran

Adakah Tesla (TSLA) akan ditutup di atas ___ pada akhir Januari?

Mengenai

$430
$50,510 Vol.
60%

$440
$23,469 Vol.
47%

$450
$31,068 Vol.
41%

$460
$10,787 Vol.
27%

$470
$29,333 Vol.
21%

$480
$20,561 Vol.
12%

$490
$4,456 Vol.
7%

$500
$5,118 Vol.
5%

$510
$3,349 Vol.
4%

$520
$3,497 Vol.
1%

$530
$3,660 Vol.
2%

$540
$1,518 Vol.
1%

$550
$2,513 Vol.
1%