Strong investor appetite for large-scale technology listings, fueled by robust 2025 funding rounds and improving public market conditions, is driving trader expectations for multiple high-profile IPOs before year-end 2026. SpaceX leads with near-certain odds on the back of ongoing Starlink growth and confidential filing activity, while OpenAI and Anthropic face tighter timelines amid revenue shortfalls, ongoing losses projected into 2027, and legal distractions that could delay S-1 filings. Databricks and Discord benefit from recent tender offers and confidential submissions that signal readiness, though Stripe remains more cautious with no immediate plans. Key swing factors include Q3 earnings momentum, broader equity volatility, and any regulatory scrutiny on AI valuations, with resolution hinging on whether at least one major name completes its debut by December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$6,373,659 交易量
2026-12-31
SpaceX
98%
OpenAI
77%
Anthropic
73%
Discord
57%
远程
22%
Databricks
20%
WHOOP
17%
Rippling
17%
SHEIN
16%
Mistral AI
16%
Applied Intuition
15%
Freddie Mac
15%
瑞波实验室
13%
房利美
13%
Epic Games
12%
Glean
12%
Ledger
11%
Ramp
11%
Anduril
11%
Celonis
10%
Anduril Industries
9%
Vanta
9%
Stripe
9%
Canva
9%
Deel
8%
Revolut
8%
Waymo
6%
字节跳动
6%
Anysphere（Cursor）
4%
Brex
1%
$6,373,659 交易量
SpaceX
$627,130 交易量
98%
OpenAI
$268,873 交易量
77%
Anthropic
$264,151 交易量
73%
Discord
$452,948 交易量
57%
远程
$54,642 交易量
22%
Databricks
$470,683 交易量
20%
WHOOP
$293 交易量
17%
Rippling
$117,739 交易量
17%
SHEIN
$78,516 交易量
16%
Mistral AI
$149,095 交易量
16%
Applied Intuition
$197,220 交易量
15%
Freddie Mac
$245,224 交易量
15%
瑞波实验室
$146,033 交易量
13%
房利美
$162,039 交易量
13%
Epic Games
$74,616 交易量
12%
Glean
$45,143 交易量
12%
Ledger
$510,766 交易量
11%
Ramp
$144,123 交易量
11%
Anduril
$352,372 交易量
11%
Celonis
$207,968 交易量
10%
Anduril Industries
$33,784 交易量
9%
Vanta
$130,474 交易量
9%
Stripe
$251,889 交易量
9%
Canva
$36,958 交易量
9%
Deel
$124,478 交易量
8%
Revolut
$57,147 交易量
8%
Waymo
$52,353 交易量
6%
字节跳动
$12,030 交易量
6%
Anysphere（Cursor）
$97,876 交易量
4%
Brex
$218,003 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Strong investor appetite for large-scale technology listings, fueled by robust 2025 funding rounds and improving public market conditions, is driving trader expectations for multiple high-profile IPOs before year-end 2026. SpaceX leads with near-certain odds on the back of ongoing Starlink growth and confidential filing activity, while OpenAI and Anthropic face tighter timelines amid revenue shortfalls, ongoing losses projected into 2027, and legal distractions that could delay S-1 filings. Databricks and Discord benefit from recent tender offers and confidential submissions that signal readiness, though Stripe remains more cautious with no immediate plans. Key swing factors include Q3 earnings momentum, broader equity volatility, and any regulatory scrutiny on AI valuations, with resolution hinging on whether at least one major name completes its debut by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$6,373,659结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Strong investor appetite for large-scale technology listings, fueled by robust 2025 funding rounds and improving public market conditions, is driving trader expectations for multiple high-profile IPOs before year-end 2026. SpaceX leads with near-certain odds on the back of ongoing Starlink growth and confidential filing activity, while OpenAI and Anthropic face tighter timelines amid revenue shortfalls, ongoing losses projected into 2027, and legal distractions that could delay S-1 filings. Databricks and Discord benefit from recent tender offers and confidential submissions that signal readiness, though Stripe remains more cautious with no immediate plans. Key swing factors include Q3 earnings momentum, broader equity volatility, and any regulatory scrutiny on AI valuations, with resolution hinging on whether at least one major name completes its debut by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,373,659结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong investor appetite for large-scale technology listings, fueled by robust 2025 funding rounds and improving public market conditions, is driving trader expectations for multiple high-profile IPOs before year-end 2026. SpaceX leads with near-certain odds on the back of ongoing Starlink growth and confidential filing activity, while OpenAI and Anthropic face tighter timelines amid revenue shortfalls, ongoing losses projected into 2027, and legal distractions that could delay S-1 filings. Databricks and Discord benefit from recent tender offers and confidential submissions that signal readiness, though Stripe remains more cautious with no immediate plans. Key swing factors include Q3 earnings momentum, broader equity volatility, and any regulatory scrutiny on AI valuations, with resolution hinging on whether at least one major name completes its debut by December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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