Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition holds a Lok Sabha majority secured in 2024, with no recent no-confidence votes or alliance breakdowns threatening stability, as evidenced by the rejection of a March motion against Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla. Modi's vigorous campaigning in West Bengal ahead of 2026 assembly elections—including rallies on April 5 and 11 targeting TMC's alleged syndicate raj—demonstrates robust leadership continuity. Opposition rhetoric, like Arvind Kejriwal's unsubstantiated March 24 claim of Modi's potential exit by year-end, has not materialized into concrete challenges amid routine duties such as foreign visits and Mann ki Baat addresses. Absent snap elections, health events, or scandals, trader consensus reflects high confidence in his tenure through 2029 polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$18,449 Vol.
$18,449 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$18,449 Vol.
$18,449 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition holds a Lok Sabha majority secured in 2024, with no recent no-confidence votes or alliance breakdowns threatening stability, as evidenced by the rejection of a March motion against Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla. Modi's vigorous campaigning in West Bengal ahead of 2026 assembly elections—including rallies on April 5 and 11 targeting TMC's alleged syndicate raj—demonstrates robust leadership continuity. Opposition rhetoric, like Arvind Kejriwal's unsubstantiated March 24 claim of Modi's potential exit by year-end, has not materialized into concrete challenges amid routine duties such as foreign visits and Mann ki Baat addresses. Absent snap elections, health events, or scandals, trader consensus reflects high confidence in his tenure through 2029 polls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$18,449End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition holds a Lok Sabha majority secured in 2024, with no recent no-confidence votes or alliance breakdowns threatening stability, as evidenced by the rejection of a March motion against Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla. Modi's vigorous campaigning in West Bengal ahead of 2026 assembly elections—including rallies on April 5 and 11 targeting TMC's alleged syndicate raj—demonstrates robust leadership continuity. Opposition rhetoric, like Arvind Kejriwal's unsubstantiated March 24 claim of Modi's potential exit by year-end, has not materialized into concrete challenges amid routine duties such as foreign visits and Mann ki Baat addresses. Absent snap elections, health events, or scandals, trader consensus reflects high confidence in his tenure through 2029 polls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,449End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition holds a Lok Sabha majority secured in 2024, with no recent no-confidence votes or alliance breakdowns threatening stability, as evidenced by the rejection of a March motion against Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla. Modi's vigorous campaigning in West Bengal ahead of 2026 assembly elections—including rallies on April 5 and 11 targeting TMC's alleged syndicate raj—demonstrates robust leadership continuity. Opposition rhetoric, like Arvind Kejriwal's unsubstantiated March 24 claim of Modi's potential exit by year-end, has not materialized into concrete challenges amid routine duties such as foreign visits and Mann ki Baat addresses. Absent snap elections, health events, or scandals, trader consensus reflects high confidence in his tenure through 2029 polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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