Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secured a landmark victory in West Bengal's assembly elections on May 4, 2026, poised to form the government in the long-time opposition stronghold and displacing Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress, which boosted national momentum for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition. With the NDA maintaining its Lok Sabha majority from the 2024 general elections—next due in 2029—and no no-confidence motions, snap elections, or coalition fractures reported, traders price an 89.1% implied probability against Modi exiting office by year-end. Speculative opposition claims, like AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction, lack substantiation amid BJP's strengthening state-level dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$27,613 Vol.
$27,613 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$27,613 Vol.
$27,613 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secured a landmark victory in West Bengal's assembly elections on May 4, 2026, poised to form the government in the long-time opposition stronghold and displacing Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress, which boosted national momentum for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition. With the NDA maintaining its Lok Sabha majority from the 2024 general elections—next due in 2029—and no no-confidence motions, snap elections, or coalition fractures reported, traders price an 89.1% implied probability against Modi exiting office by year-end. Speculative opposition claims, like AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction, lack substantiation amid BJP's strengthening state-level dominance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$27,613End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secured a landmark victory in West Bengal's assembly elections on May 4, 2026, poised to form the government in the long-time opposition stronghold and displacing Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress, which boosted national momentum for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition. With the NDA maintaining its Lok Sabha majority from the 2024 general elections—next due in 2029—and no no-confidence motions, snap elections, or coalition fractures reported, traders price an 89.1% implied probability against Modi exiting office by year-end. Speculative opposition claims, like AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction, lack substantiation amid BJP's strengthening state-level dominance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,613End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secured a landmark victory in West Bengal's assembly elections on May 4, 2026, poised to form the government in the long-time opposition stronghold and displacing Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress, which boosted national momentum for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition. With the NDA maintaining its Lok Sabha majority from the 2024 general elections—next due in 2029—and no no-confidence motions, snap elections, or coalition fractures reported, traders price an 89.1% implied probability against Modi exiting office by year-end. Speculative opposition claims, like AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction, lack substantiation amid BJP's strengthening state-level dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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