Narendra Modi's position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with traders assigning a 91.3% implied probability that he will not leave office by December 31. His Bharatiya Janata Party consolidated power further in recent state elections, including a breakthrough victory in West Bengal, extending control over the majority of India's states and union territories. Modi has maintained an active schedule of domestic policy addresses, infrastructure launches, and international engagements into May 2026, with no scheduled national elections until 2029 and no reported challenges to his leadership from within the ruling coalition or opposition. These factors underpin the market's assessment of continuity in the current parliamentary term.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoModi out by December 31, 2026?
$102,659 Wol.
$102,659 Wol.
$102,659 Wol.
$102,659 Wol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi's position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with traders assigning a 91.3% implied probability that he will not leave office by December 31. His Bharatiya Janata Party consolidated power further in recent state elections, including a breakthrough victory in West Bengal, extending control over the majority of India's states and union territories. Modi has maintained an active schedule of domestic policy addresses, infrastructure launches, and international engagements into May 2026, with no scheduled national elections until 2029 and no reported challenges to his leadership from within the ruling coalition or opposition. These factors underpin the market's assessment of continuity in the current parliamentary term.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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