Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister runs through June 2029 following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the BJP-led NDA coalition retaining a working parliamentary majority that has shown no signs of fracturing ahead of the December 31, 2026 cutoff. The next general election remains scheduled for 2029, and no-confidence motions or early dissolution lack viable support in the current Lok Sabha arithmetic. Recent October 2026 protests over electoral-roll revisions and calls for the chief election commissioner’s resignation have prompted security measures and partisan exchanges but have not triggered institutional challenges capable of removing the government in the remaining weeks. Trader consensus at 96.4% on “No” reflects this structural stability. The few remaining pathways to an earlier exit—such as a sudden health event, internal coalition revolt, or unforeseen scandal—would require rapid escalation beyond current verified developments.