Gold futures prices have consolidated near $4,500 per ounce in mid-May 2026 following a sharp January peak above $5,500 and a subsequent 10%+ pullback, positioning the $4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000 settlement ranges as the closest contest in trader-implied odds. Persistent central bank purchases, projected at roughly 800 tonnes annually and reaccelerating in 2026, continue to underpin safe-haven demand alongside de-dollarization flows and geopolitical uncertainty. Offsetting factors include a firmer U.S. dollar, elevated real yields, and delayed Federal Reserve easing expectations that have capped near-term momentum. With the June contract approaching first notice in late May, the balanced probabilities between these two bins reflect uncertainty over whether supportive structural buying will overcome short-term resistance before expiration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiApa yang akan diselesaikan Gold (GC) pada bulan Juni?
$4.200-$4.600 37.2%
$4.600-$5.000 30%
$3,800-$4,200 14.9%
$5.000-$5.400 9.3%
$964,037 Vol.
$964,037 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
37%
$4.600-$5.000
30%
$5.000-$5.400
9%
$5.400-$5.800
4%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
$4.200-$4.600 37.2%
$4.600-$5.000 30%
$3,800-$4,200 14.9%
$5.000-$5.400 9.3%
$964,037 Vol.
$964,037 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
37%
$4.600-$5.000
30%
$5.000-$5.400
9%
$5.400-$5.800
4%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gold futures prices have consolidated near $4,500 per ounce in mid-May 2026 following a sharp January peak above $5,500 and a subsequent 10%+ pullback, positioning the $4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000 settlement ranges as the closest contest in trader-implied odds. Persistent central bank purchases, projected at roughly 800 tonnes annually and reaccelerating in 2026, continue to underpin safe-haven demand alongside de-dollarization flows and geopolitical uncertainty. Offsetting factors include a firmer U.S. dollar, elevated real yields, and delayed Federal Reserve easing expectations that have capped near-term momentum. With the June contract approaching first notice in late May, the balanced probabilities between these two bins reflect uncertainty over whether supportive structural buying will overcome short-term resistance before expiration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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